{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cfa69d23-ca29-476b-bc05-f60845a72b83", "symbol": "BWB", "name": "Bridgewater Bancshares Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.226, "architecture_energy": 49.809, "architecture_maturity": 50.008, "architecture_confidence": 74.189, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.39, "rotation_up": 55.55, "upward_expansion": 80.2, "deceleration": 67.58, "rotation_down": 23.03, "downward_expansion": 6.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.202667, 21.077636, 20.265476, 19.727054 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.64, "trend_reference": 19.207667, "distance_from_trend": 0.126633, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.763974, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.46573, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.515133, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.083625, "excess_performance": -0.103828, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.126633, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057769, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.46573, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135129, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.035151, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136581, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.083625, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.20835, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1178364, "relative_activity": 1.752003, "balance": 2.20835, "dry_up": 1.395474, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054155, "annualized_volatility": 0.24146, "from_high_reference": -0.042054, "from_low_reference": 0.409772 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.207667, "fair_value_reference": 14.763974, "structural_low": 16.62, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.026335, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.014221, "regime_survival": 0.730769, "best_return": 0.13268, "worst_return": -0.123642, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.016821, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.000962, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.127176, "worst_return": -0.316497, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.004903, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.042209, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.224187, "worst_return": -0.263036, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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576061.4, "trend": 18.895, "fair_value": 14.570705, "relative_strength": 10.223575, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.430603, "energy": 89.022973, "activity_lines": [ 21.462667, 20.704545, 19.761524, 19.344301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.78, "volume": 1088796, "typical_volume": 612945.6, "trend": 18.987, "fair_value": 14.634167, "relative_strength": 5.385418, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.646888, "energy": 73.10066, "activity_lines": [ 21.352, 20.839455, 19.926905, 19.465914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.48, "volume": 759375, "typical_volume": 633776.55, "trend": 19.085333, "fair_value": 14.695128, "relative_strength": 3.13828, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.444585, "energy": 49.837616, "activity_lines": [ 21.072, 20.869091, 20.049048, 19.562237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.64, "volume": 1178364, "typical_volume": 672580.95, "trend": 19.207667, "fair_value": 14.763974, "relative_strength": 3.515133, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.226478, "energy": 49.809221, "activity_lines": [ 21.202667, 21.077636, 20.265476, 19.727054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }