{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cfabd9a6-3d89-420e-9e3f-de83f6db00a5", "symbol": "WWW", "name": "Wolverine World Wide Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.144, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.899, "architecture_energy": 58.993, "architecture_maturity": 37.407, "architecture_confidence": 69.736, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.7, "rotation_up": 65.27, "upward_expansion": 86.41, "deceleration": 45.37, "rotation_down": 13.24, "downward_expansion": 15.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.946, 18.299483, 17.672149, 17.414825 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.93, "trend_reference": 17.325771, "distance_from_trend": 0.092592, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.593441, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.213972, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.833786, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.024506, "excess_performance": -0.101119, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092592, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014735, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.213972, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11907, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148338, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119415, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.024506, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.009457, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4227804, "relative_activity": 0.893332, "balance": 1.009457, "dry_up": 0.83532, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102179, "annualized_volatility": 0.387941, "from_high_reference": -0.413967, "from_low_reference": 0.421689 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.325771, "fair_value_reference": 15.593441, "structural_low": 13.913687, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.046887, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.061937, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.184364, "worst_return": -0.148549, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.085744, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.146749, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.142648, "worst_return": -0.269334, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.289439, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.275506, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.495026, "worst_return": -0.393453, "sufficient": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 17.71, "volume": 3651903, "typical_volume": 5461067.75, "trend": 17.228017, "fair_value": 15.381409, "relative_strength": -20.832852, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.547626, "energy": 11.041497, "activity_lines": [ 17.244325, 17.033633, 16.895224, 16.982129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.37, "volume": 3625997, "typical_volume": 5127708.2, "trend": 17.237363, "fair_value": 15.426522, "relative_strength": -16.176363, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.885698, "energy": 18.687679, "activity_lines": [ 17.589343, 17.317638, 17.048238, 17.055805 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.79, "volume": 3751834, "typical_volume": 4889284.3, "trend": 17.272572, "fair_value": 15.472667, "relative_strength": -13.136853, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.990289, "energy": 36.238959, "activity_lines": [ 18.043622, 17.645771, 17.237409, 17.155975 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.68, "volume": 4207397, "typical_volume": 4872657.3, "trend": 17.325255, "fair_value": 15.524339, "relative_strength": -9.465074, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.247081, "energy": 52.846679, "activity_lines": [ 18.708, 18.071456, 17.499534, 17.311293 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.93, "volume": 4227804, "typical_volume": 4732625.3, "trend": 17.325771, "fair_value": 15.593441, "relative_strength": -14.833786, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.899468, "energy": 58.992596, "activity_lines": [ 18.946, 18.299483, 17.672149, 17.414825 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }