{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cfd953eb-0502-43b9-92ee-eb9b7bf7b6ff", "symbol": "WFRD", "name": "Weatherford International plc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 74.923, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.66, "architecture_energy": 37.384, "architecture_maturity": 26.883, "architecture_confidence": 77.818, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.51, "rotation_up": 21.43, "upward_expansion": 9.49, "deceleration": 58.28, "rotation_down": 47.6, "downward_expansion": 71.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 86.293371, 86.369799, 92.286463, 94.117935 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 86.82, "trend_reference": 95.474756, "distance_from_trend": -0.09065, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 84.132481, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.031944, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.867505, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.175052, "excess_performance": -0.362505, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09065, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039913, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.031944, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21445, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098675, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.256713, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.175052, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.700523, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4279946, "relative_activity": 0.689916, "balance": 0.700523, "dry_up": 1.101284, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098503, "annualized_volatility": 0.435185, "from_high_reference": -0.2327, "from_low_reference": 0.661699 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 95.474756, "fair_value_reference": 84.132481, "structural_low": 77.460548, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.012766, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.016969, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.377232, "worst_return": -0.195104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.004109, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.096105, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.825335, "worst_return": -0.299346, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.185084, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.041137, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.036272, "worst_return": -0.415912, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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93.153075, 94.680528 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 86.82, "volume": 4279946, "typical_volume": 6203571.05, "trend": 95.474756, "fair_value": 84.132481, "relative_strength": -9.867505, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.659677, "energy": 37.383829, "activity_lines": [ 86.293371, 86.369799, 92.286463, 94.117935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }