{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cfed5be1-6860-444a-bffb-fe700260ffd6", "symbol": "AMDIND", "name": "AMD Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 68.184, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.798, "architecture_energy": 26.536, "architecture_maturity": 22.223, "architecture_confidence": 66.761, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.27, "rotation_up": 41.74, "upward_expansion": 73.75, "deceleration": 62.61, "rotation_down": 24.61, "downward_expansion": 5.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.868666, 46.620182, 46.22481, 45.081893 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 46.869999, "trend_reference": 43.972, "distance_from_trend": 0.065906, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 57.747564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.188364, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.062318, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.077471, "excess_performance": 0.12118, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065906, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035039, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.188364, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012326, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010623, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048639, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077471, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.255554, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 61946, "relative_activity": 1.126894, "balance": 2.255554, "dry_up": 1.933522, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075561, "annualized_volatility": 0.415754, "from_high_reference": -0.311444, "from_low_reference": 0.387918 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.972, "fair_value_reference": 57.747564, "structural_low": 33.77, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.011503, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.05073, "regime_survival": 0.608696, "best_return": 0.345696, "worst_return": -0.318064, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.134977, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.143697, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.285531, "worst_return": -0.198418, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.168489, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.238885, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.4279, "worst_return": -0.426677, 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45.831637, 45.246191, 44.353699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.68, "volume": 275470, "typical_volume": 54407.4, "trend": 43.920334, "fair_value": 57.986667, "relative_strength": 8.061594, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.809505, "energy": 38.027896, "activity_lines": [ 46.842667, 46.518364, 45.818381, 44.727828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.43, "volume": 52339, "typical_volume": 55463.65, "trend": 43.891667, "fair_value": 57.838462, "relative_strength": -1.413446, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.48394, "energy": 25.610721, "activity_lines": [ 46.822667, 46.537819, 46.024143, 44.889742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.869999, "volume": 61946, "typical_volume": 54970.55, "trend": 43.972, "fair_value": 57.747564, "relative_strength": -1.062318, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.797515, "energy": 26.535778, "activity_lines": [ 46.868666, 46.620182, 46.22481, 45.081893 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }