{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cff7aa6a-5958-454f-ab6a-406828f8f1a8", "symbol": "INDIASHLTR", "name": "India Shelter Finance Corporation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -33.268, "architecture_energy": 46.918, "architecture_maturity": 27.399, "architecture_confidence": 79.468, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.67, "rotation_up": 23.01, "upward_expansion": 29.96, "deceleration": 42.98, "rotation_down": 62.75, "downward_expansion": 47.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 731.863342, 753.98625, 767.437369, 764.483147 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 691.900024, "trend_reference": 762.412718, "distance_from_trend": -0.092486, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 749.232564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.076522, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.738201, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.124786, "excess_performance": -0.081077, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.092486, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03521, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.076522, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.180999, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137382, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151799, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.124786, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.931209, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 844684, "relative_activity": 1.814298, "balance": 0.931209, "dry_up": 1.552248, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068375, "annualized_volatility": 0.287502, "from_high_reference": -0.285781, "from_low_reference": 0.059247 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 762.412718, "fair_value_reference": 749.232564, "structural_low": 653.200012, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.066775, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.055731, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.057575, "worst_return": -0.079827, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.127386, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.115884, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.087679, "worst_return": -0.167093, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.14392, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.042588, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.14392, "worst_return": -0.14392, "sufficient": false }, { 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"up", "direction": 61.700575, "energy": 49.08263, "activity_lines": [ 797.889982, 787.080689, 783.524958, 774.854315 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 723.900024, "volume": 755111, "typical_volume": 464225.9, "trend": 768.571051, "fair_value": 749.802895, "relative_strength": -7.621879, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.792837, "energy": 3.652168, "activity_lines": [ 775.299996, 776.289723, 779.187905, 771.786399 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 729.0, "volume": 774550, "typical_volume": 469055.4, "trend": 765.529384, "fair_value": 749.65105, "relative_strength": -8.955802, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.731243, "energy": 22.569296, "activity_lines": [ 758.439998, 768.096761, 775.172993, 769.233428 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 691.900024, "volume": 844684, "typical_volume": 465570.8, "trend": 762.412718, "fair_value": 749.232564, "relative_strength": -13.738201, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.268014, "energy": 46.917814, "activity_lines": [ 731.863342, 753.98625, 767.437369, 764.483147 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }