{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d004d42e-35a4-42d8-83aa-254c5680280f",
    "symbol": "QCLN",
    "name": "First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 52.758,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -35.279,
    "architecture_energy": 68.934,
    "architecture_maturity": 5.71,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.932,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.11,
        "rotation_up": 16.67,
        "upward_expansion": 32.49,
        "deceleration": 48.11,
        "rotation_down": 76.9,
        "downward_expansion": 59.82
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        921.4,
        980.445455,
        1014.680237,
        989.530773
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 910.0,
    "trend_reference": 954.259729,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.046381,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 729.603336,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247253,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.446699,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.076932,
    "excess_performance": 0.131598,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046381,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067396,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.247253,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.199282,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004467,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.188792,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076932,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.569892,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 2.569892,
      "dry_up": 0.054473,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05186,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.366324,
      "from_high_reference": -0.225532,
      "from_low_reference": 0.373104
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 954.259729,
      "fair_value_reference": 729.603336,
      "structural_low": 815.863525,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.029909,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037497,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.090106,
        "worst_return": -0.036886,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.062569,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.167985,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.02124,
        "worst_return": -0.198933,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.180632,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.254657,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.072297,
        "worst_return": -0.217432,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.003554,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.184728,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.387053,
        "worst_return": -0.394161,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.082149,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.032689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.044881,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.147287,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.167853,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.269515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038915,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.099262,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025663,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.058945,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 768.416016,
        "volume": 204,
        "typical_volume": 1591.6,
        "trend": 905.023806,
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        "relative_strength": -25.083153,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 8.663123,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 9,
        "typical_volume": 190.9,
        "trend": 947.259064,
        "fair_value": 729.080434,
        "relative_strength": 8.038174,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 910.0,
        "volume": 24,
        "typical_volume": 151.7,
        "trend": 949.325954,
        "fair_value": 728.988782,
        "relative_strength": 1.82312,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -8.518707,
        "energy": 32.08162,
        "activity_lines": [
          980.2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 910.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 151.45,
        "trend": 952.492836,
        "fair_value": 729.169746,
        "relative_strength": 0.731406,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -39.248668,
        "energy": 52.062431,
        "activity_lines": [
          943.533333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 910.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 151.45,
        "trend": 954.259729,
        "fair_value": 729.603336,
        "relative_strength": 0.446699,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.278967,
        "energy": 68.933821,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}