{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d0058b68-6ec0-459f-b4b2-2cf57d1ae887", "symbol": "CZNC", "name": "Citizens & Northern Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.658, "architecture_energy": 77.369, "architecture_maturity": 20.368, "architecture_confidence": 76.892, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.37, "rotation_up": 78.59, "upward_expansion": 92.12, "deceleration": 42.19, "rotation_down": 9.12, "downward_expansion": 16.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.551176, 23.835347, 22.972855, 22.718355 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 25.36, "trend_reference": 22.450432, "distance_from_trend": 0.1296, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.621627, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.361857, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.081104, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.093649, "excess_performance": -0.093805, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.1296, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05414, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.361857, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.170311, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.050811, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149052, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.093649, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.151379, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 278970, "relative_activity": 1.073212, "balance": 2.151379, "dry_up": 1.296948, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054808, "annualized_volatility": 0.240555, "from_high_reference": -0.018576, "from_low_reference": 0.422573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.450432, "fair_value_reference": 18.621627, "structural_low": 20.195, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.020481, "positive_rate": 0.32, "directional_follow_through": 0.32, "median_excess_return": -0.006287, "regime_survival": 0.64, "best_return": 0.13971, "worst_return": -0.120534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.018468, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.031496, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.062215, "worst_return": -0.207308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.022729, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.019762, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.109608, "worst_return": -0.252015, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.367849, "energy": 55.152004, "activity_lines": [ 22.976411, 22.496271, 22.228, 22.185951 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.083464, "volume": 351235, "typical_volume": 250441.05, "trend": 22.08251, "fair_value": 18.527096, "relative_strength": 5.976539, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.624893, "energy": 61.048706, "activity_lines": [ 23.385849, 22.873887, 22.415488, 22.323574 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.11208, "volume": 389422, "typical_volume": 259719.65, "trend": 22.270465, "fair_value": 18.573293, "relative_strength": 9.586856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.907561, "energy": 71.059676, "activity_lines": [ 23.981262, 23.368825, 22.691083, 22.519031 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.36, "volume": 278970, "typical_volume": 259939.35, "trend": 22.450432, "fair_value": 18.621627, "relative_strength": 5.081104, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.657642, "energy": 77.369196, "activity_lines": [ 24.551176, 23.835347, 22.972855, 22.718355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }