{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d0158d57-31b5-4b14-8649-165da3dd5334", "symbol": "RGN", "name": "Region Group", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 59.49, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.926, "architecture_energy": 47.938, "architecture_maturity": 10.099, "architecture_confidence": 78.838, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.71, "rotation_up": 60.22, "upward_expansion": 80.43, "deceleration": 53.4, "rotation_down": 16.12, "downward_expansion": 7.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.381333, 2.36572, 2.330581, 2.308257 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.41, "trend_reference": 2.292525, "distance_from_trend": 0.051243, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.106592, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.144028, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.212284, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.061674, "excess_performance": -0.002032, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051243, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000566, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.144028, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048106, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.012123, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005661, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.061674, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.679444, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8819145, "relative_activity": 0.728048, "balance": 1.679444, "dry_up": 0.915435, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033336, "annualized_volatility": 0.181086, "from_high_reference": -0.012295, "from_low_reference": 0.15311 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.292525, "fair_value_reference": 2.106592, "structural_low": 2.09, "invalidation": 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2.304423, 2.284622, 2.281207 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.36, "volume": 19104573, "typical_volume": 13901583.0, "trend": 2.290554, "fair_value": 2.098111, "relative_strength": 2.014335, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.028458, "energy": 52.655911, "activity_lines": [ 2.351511, 2.316501, 2.2935, 2.285664 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.37, "volume": 10069541, "typical_volume": 13508424.2, "trend": 2.289882, "fair_value": 2.1001, "relative_strength": 2.439832, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.077144, "energy": 60.117448, "activity_lines": [ 2.357697, 2.329851, 2.302901, 2.29079 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.35, "volume": 14079182, "typical_volume": 13697451.85, "trend": 2.289191, "fair_value": 2.101797, "relative_strength": 1.749786, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.747929, "energy": 41.084681, "activity_lines": [ 2.3552, 2.337928, 2.310112, 2.294669 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.38, "volume": 11388259, "typical_volume": 13010323.9, "trend": 2.290191, "fair_value": 2.104126, "relative_strength": 0.673413, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.866743, "energy": 41.420931, "activity_lines": [ 2.362667, 2.350006, 2.319561, 2.300527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.41, "volume": 8819145, "typical_volume": 12113405.55, "trend": 2.292525, "fair_value": 2.106592, "relative_strength": -1.212284, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.926346, "energy": 47.93798, "activity_lines": [ 2.381333, 2.36572, 2.330581, 2.308257 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }