{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d01cfdef-22fe-4de4-b10c-ab007d1965a7", "symbol": "AIRB34", "name": "Airbnb, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.146, "architecture_energy": 67.822, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.421, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.83, "rotation_up": 73.9, "upward_expansion": 84.37, "deceleration": 51.66, "rotation_down": 11.85, "downward_expansion": 11.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.912667, 38.594546, 36.751381, 35.807656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 45.240002, "trend_reference": 34.827334, "distance_from_trend": 0.29898, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.065897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254371, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.915801, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.432099, "excess_performance": 0.489147, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.29898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027931, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.254371, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.281948, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.259158, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.417373, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.432099, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.845538, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 93817, "relative_activity": 3.061218, "balance": 0.845538, "dry_up": 2.183243, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064171, "annualized_volatility": 0.356289, "from_high_reference": -0.000221, "from_low_reference": 0.508 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.827334, "fair_value_reference": 36.065897, "structural_low": 30.1, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.016807, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.050374, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.10908, "worst_return": -0.237505, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.02363, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.062591, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.220527, "worst_return": -0.123626, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.004268, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.132527, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.283232, "worst_return": -0.135899, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 35.954038, "relative_strength": 0.751685, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.920339, "energy": 75.114313, "activity_lines": [ 37.575334, 36.028546, 35.048857, 34.63157 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.549999, "volume": 92029, "typical_volume": 30615.05, "trend": 34.577334, "fair_value": 35.966859, "relative_strength": 2.636576, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.357993, "energy": 75.62157, "activity_lines": [ 37.830667, 36.462909, 35.346476, 34.822624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.169998, "volume": 65435, "typical_volume": 27512.0, "trend": 34.472667, "fair_value": 35.959808, "relative_strength": -3.233479, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.776278, "energy": 57.895983, "activity_lines": [ 37.008666, 36.412, 35.399143, 34.86086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.470001, "volume": 16358, "typical_volume": 27654.7, "trend": 34.562, "fair_value": 35.986282, "relative_strength": 3.973682, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.408195, "energy": 42.932171, "activity_lines": [ 37.361333, 36.933818, 35.764619, 35.118753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.240002, "volume": 93817, "typical_volume": 30646.95, "trend": 34.827334, "fair_value": 36.065897, "relative_strength": 25.915801, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.145736, "energy": 67.82229, "activity_lines": [ 39.912667, 38.594546, 36.751381, 35.807656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }