{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d01da389-eccb-4c39-a2fe-6ae6dd578fab", "symbol": "WOSG", "name": "Watches of Switzerland Group PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.395, "architecture_energy": 47.912, "architecture_maturity": 91.828, "architecture_confidence": 72.559, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.75, "rotation_up": 46.34, "upward_expansion": 78.39, "deceleration": 71.31, "rotation_down": 27.6, "downward_expansion": 7.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 739.133333, 735.590909, 697.486667, 648.623011 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 752.5, "trend_reference": 592.466667, "distance_from_trend": 0.270114, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 476.123077, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.580474, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 36.187339, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.549629, "excess_performance": 0.498394, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.270114, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.174465, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.580474, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.404869, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.361873, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.144785, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.549629, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.732392, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2028250, "relative_activity": 0.765162, "balance": 3.732392, "dry_up": 1.185972, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088786, "annualized_volatility": 0.394498, "from_high_reference": -0.061135, "from_low_reference": 1.379823 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 592.466667, "fair_value_reference": 476.123077, "structural_low": 426.399994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.004836, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.008097, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.263063, "worst_return": -0.212658, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.092982, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.011675, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.412916, "worst_return": -0.236652, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.108275, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.148908, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.59116, "worst_return": -0.472222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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727.233333, 715.036364, 646.392857, 604.107957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 780.0, "volume": 5575314, "typical_volume": 2826469.15, "trend": 566.693333, "fair_value": 475.764103, "relative_strength": 50.219403, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.282706, "energy": 65.154788, "activity_lines": [ 745.533333, 730.8, 664.543809, 618.504086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 709.0, "volume": 2496480, "typical_volume": 2730645.65, "trend": 574.313333, "fair_value": 475.696795, "relative_strength": 33.422293, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.023156, "energy": 52.995952, "activity_lines": [ 735.666667, 729.563636, 674.651905, 627.685161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 729.5, "volume": 2474795, "typical_volume": 2751194.6, "trend": 583.15, "fair_value": 475.786539, "relative_strength": 33.995549, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.361471, "energy": 46.165917, "activity_lines": [ 734.3, 730.9, 685.621905, 637.697204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 752.5, "volume": 2028250, "typical_volume": 2650746.4, "trend": 592.466667, "fair_value": 476.123077, "relative_strength": 36.187339, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.395086, "energy": 47.912196, "activity_lines": [ 739.133333, 735.590909, 697.486667, 648.623011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }