{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d01fb57b-4a63-42ff-a060-10cc9b201a00", "symbol": "MVV", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST PSHS ULT MCAP400", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.574, "architecture_energy": 44.666, "architecture_maturity": 59.06, "architecture_confidence": 61.252, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.82, "rotation_up": 44.64, "upward_expansion": 74.39, "deceleration": 69.37, "rotation_down": 25.98, "downward_expansion": 5.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 89.560007, 89.193824, 87.303674, 84.732851 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 92.95, "trend_reference": 81.967499, "distance_from_trend": 0.133986, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 66.070902, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.406822, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.633631, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.139242, "excess_performance": 0.013617, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.133986, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081876, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.406822, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055654, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.086336, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006797, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.139242, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.649991, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37166, "relative_activity": 0.72254, "balance": 0.649991, "dry_up": 0.602565, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049529, "annualized_volatility": 0.2716, "from_high_reference": -0.002361, "from_low_reference": 0.503227 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 81.967499, "fair_value_reference": 66.070902, "structural_low": 67.4453, 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 88.3, "volume": 16624, "typical_volume": 53665.25, "trend": 80.875669, "fair_value": 65.60816, "relative_strength": 8.642833, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.008112, "energy": 39.699705, "activity_lines": [ 88.5041, 88.382624, 85.935956, 83.572481 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 87.318, "volume": 40835, "typical_volume": 52140.9, "trend": 81.406596, "fair_value": 65.818587, "relative_strength": 5.992072, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.621789, "energy": 30.16378, "activity_lines": [ 88.009987, 88.307928, 86.392091, 83.988115 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.95, "volume": 37166, "typical_volume": 51438.0, "trend": 81.967499, "fair_value": 66.070902, "relative_strength": 8.633631, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.573723, "energy": 44.666422, "activity_lines": [ 89.560007, 89.193824, 87.303674, 84.732851 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }