{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d03e1946-01ae-47a5-bb97-48ae36d85fce",
    "symbol": "KUOB",
    "name": "Kuo, S.A.B. de C.V.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -96.836,
    "architecture_energy": 78.825,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.561,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.487,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.89,
        "rotation_up": 8.62,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 60.95,
        "rotation_down": 87.9,
        "downward_expansion": 87.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        49.166667,
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        54.712774
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 47.0,
    "trend_reference": 56.593,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.169509,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 43.844657,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.071966,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.436121,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.216667,
    "excess_performance": -0.162,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.169509,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021605,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071966,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.300523,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.154361,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.17512,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.216667,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.079783,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1138,
      "relative_activity": 0.048843,
      "balance": 0.079783,
      "dry_up": 0.0144,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022095,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.15792,
      "from_high_reference": -0.219269,
      "from_low_reference": 0.236842
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 56.593,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.844657,
      "structural_low": 47.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.001222,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00906,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.158024,
        "worst_return": -0.128269,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.031178,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.042307,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.289618,
        "worst_return": -0.044444,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.077851,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.115546,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.442267,
        "worst_return": -0.081415,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.044149,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.05214,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.240197,
        "worst_return": 0.036187,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.011037,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
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        "return": 0.052749,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "close": 57.990002,
        "volume": 219,
        "typical_volume": 33329.65,
        "trend": 56.859333,
        "fair_value": 42.115444,
        "relative_strength": 5.306776,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 1.882124,
        "energy": 21.133434,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 58.0,
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        "typical_volume": 31376.4,
        "trend": 57.109333,
        "fair_value": 42.258975,
        "relative_strength": 2.07591,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 571,
        "typical_volume": 31384.9,
        "trend": 57.376,
        "fair_value": 42.402506,
        "relative_strength": 4.446027,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 14.687544,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 108682,
        "typical_volume": 31086.6,
        "trend": 57.609333,
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        "relative_strength": 3.454075,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 58.0,
        "volume": 100000,
        "typical_volume": 19942.7,
        "trend": 57.842667,
        "fair_value": 42.693515,
        "relative_strength": 2.652478,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 11.10226,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 199,
        "typical_volume": 15684.95,
        "trend": 58.076,
        "fair_value": 42.839019,
        "relative_strength": 5.899203,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -11.450575,
        "energy": 13.25059,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 7342,
        "typical_volume": 15206.5,
        "trend": 58.216,
        "fair_value": 42.968772,
        "relative_strength": -2.207497,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 54.867378,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 191195,
        "typical_volume": 22869.65,
        "trend": 58.182667,
        "fair_value": 43.104841,
        "relative_strength": -7.65967,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -91.870067,
        "energy": 93.438348,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 52.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22869.65,
        "trend": 58.089333,
        "fair_value": 43.21921,
        "relative_strength": -7.090798,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -91.822388,
        "energy": 96.816412,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.84,
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          57.581161
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 51.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22521.05,
        "trend": 57.979333,
        "fair_value": 43.330374,
        "relative_strength": -7.776329,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -89.218732,
        "energy": 96.196249,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.66,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 52.0,
        "volume": 15947,
        "typical_volume": 23243.45,
        "trend": 57.829333,
        "fair_value": 43.444744,
        "relative_strength": -6.100419,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.389505,
        "energy": 89.9852,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.08,
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          56.77028
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 52.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 23243.45,
        "trend": 57.659333,
        "fair_value": 43.559959,
        "relative_strength": -6.29178,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.662723,
        "energy": 89.024211,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.9,
          53.309091,
          55.251953,
          56.394194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 49.5,
        "volume": 204,
        "typical_volume": 23253.65,
        "trend": 57.376333,
        "fair_value": 43.659148,
        "relative_strength": -10.414419,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -96.174368,
        "energy": 98.625911,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.1,
          52.369091,
          54.572476,
          55.867785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 49.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 23253.65,
        "trend": 57.026333,
        "fair_value": 43.758337,
        "relative_strength": -11.068042,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -90.850815,
        "energy": 96.683997,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.466667,
          51.583636,
          53.943,
          55.359635
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.0,
        "volume": 1138,
        "typical_volume": 23299.2,
        "trend": 56.593,
        "fair_value": 43.844657,
        "relative_strength": -15.436121,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -96.835813,
        "energy": 78.825264,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.166667,
          50.498182,
          53.125429,
          54.712774
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}