{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d0410182-3f0d-40fb-bd41-826764a2ef0a", "symbol": "GVPIL", "name": "GE Power India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.533, "architecture_energy": 28.449, "architecture_maturity": 80.4, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.39, "rotation_up": 18.88, "upward_expansion": 54.48, "deceleration": 93.99, "rotation_down": 35.43, "downward_expansion": 20.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 765.156291, 818.409029, 795.821019, 720.66555 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 762.900024, "trend_reference": 614.004723, "distance_from_trend": 0.242499, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 368.38828, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.070913, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 53.332984, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.296508, "excess_performance": 1.340217, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.242499, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.403889, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.070913, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00248, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.53333, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.31666, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.296508, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.022711, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 799006, "relative_activity": 0.878302, "balance": 2.022711, "dry_up": 1.065211, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127613, "annualized_volatility": 0.709796, "from_high_reference": -0.275189, "from_low_reference": 1.816168 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 614.004723, "fair_value_reference": 368.38828, "structural_low": 325.600006, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.025132, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.019814, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.470438, "worst_return": -0.16753, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.075776, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.090696, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.105793, "worst_return": -0.184706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.067404, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.019381, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.46978, "worst_return": -0.360082, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"volume": 864304, "typical_volume": 890365.5, "trend": 598.913055, "fair_value": 364.689883, "relative_strength": 49.402898, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.084855, "energy": 32.764461, "activity_lines": [ 776.298617, 837.716148, 790.319072, 710.085746 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 762.900024, "volume": 799006, "typical_volume": 909716.85, "trend": 614.004723, "fair_value": 368.38828, "relative_strength": 53.332984, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.532585, "energy": 28.449007, "activity_lines": [ 765.156291, 818.409029, 795.821019, 720.66555 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }