{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d044dc4e-98ea-454e-a3cb-27a5341cc6b8", "symbol": "CIE", "name": "CIE Automotive, S.A.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.041, "architecture_energy": 53.431, "architecture_maturity": 20.473, "architecture_confidence": 83.271, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.55, "rotation_up": 16.47, "upward_expansion": 7.74, "deceleration": 48.16, "rotation_down": 63.75, "downward_expansion": 81.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.133333, 26.37676, 27.144277, 27.545391 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.85, "trend_reference": 28.125863, "distance_from_trend": -0.080917, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.221877, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.024904, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.907147, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.117747, "excess_performance": -0.291994, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.080917, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023735, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.024904, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148929, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.249071, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167321, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.117747, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.451835, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041403, "annualized_volatility": 0.277577, "from_high_reference": -0.192187, "from_low_reference": 0.025794 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.125863, "fair_value_reference": 25.221877, "structural_low": 25.200001, "invalidation": 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"energy": 67.49236, "activity_lines": [ 27.031454, 27.623067, 27.992512, 28.295245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.25, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 421.9, "trend": 28.559848, "fair_value": 25.20572, "relative_strength": -23.503851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.080666, "energy": 77.217249, "activity_lines": [ 26.680494, 27.303506, 27.795484, 28.142232 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.9, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 351.2, "trend": 28.456792, "fair_value": 25.213119, "relative_strength": -22.739991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.841674, "energy": 80.280616, "activity_lines": [ 26.342956, 26.958467, 27.583694, 27.970629 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.9, "volume": 394, "typical_volume": 294.5, "trend": 28.366863, "fair_value": 25.210529, "relative_strength": -23.367895, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.056791, "energy": 75.329848, "activity_lines": [ 26.139188, 26.677602, 27.400952, 27.805674 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 290.5, "trend": 28.267529, "fair_value": 25.214681, "relative_strength": -20.393804, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.567318, "energy": 59.047683, "activity_lines": [ 26.306667, 26.590446, 27.312971, 27.701361 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.85, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 218.0, "trend": 28.125863, "fair_value": 25.221877, "relative_strength": -24.907147, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.041184, "energy": 53.43089, "activity_lines": [ 26.133333, 26.37676, 27.144277, 27.545391 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }