{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d04eaf7a-fd0a-4f9e-830d-d2054aea3698", "symbol": "002097", "name": "Sunward Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.915, "architecture_energy": 65.404, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 27.29, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.9, "rotation_down": 57.06, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.090667, 7.236127, 7.95066, 8.617227 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.25, "trend_reference": 9.606972, "distance_from_trend": -0.24534, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.377886, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.134627, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.142487, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.367365, "excess_performance": -0.374765, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.24534, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144297, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.134627, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.367441, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.391425, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113567, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.367365, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.369559, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 101783097, "relative_activity": 1.349692, "balance": 0.369559, "dry_up": 1.32252, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077654, "annualized_volatility": 0.278149, "from_high_reference": -0.654433, "from_low_reference": 0.098485 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.606972, "fair_value_reference": 8.377886, "structural_low": 6.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.006981, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.00464, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.131448, "worst_return": -0.248383, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.001617, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.04435, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.178396, "worst_return": -0.287879, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.040134, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.057692, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.409619, "worst_return": -0.367365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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10.116639, "fair_value": 8.366369, "relative_strength": -42.45586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.324002, "energy": 92.050335, "activity_lines": [ 7.166049, 7.630081, 8.470791, 9.168168 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.8, "volume": 112374153, "typical_volume": 73914139.7, "trend": 9.943972, "fair_value": 8.368306, "relative_strength": -42.344119, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.772545, "energy": 83.282288, "activity_lines": [ 6.982429, 7.397733, 8.24851, 8.954191 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.25, "volume": 88742622, "typical_volume": 74320186.45, "trend": 9.778972, "fair_value": 8.372938, "relative_strength": -37.003066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.001301, "energy": 67.549705, "activity_lines": [ 7.035685, 7.29993, 8.090895, 8.780386 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.25, "volume": 101783097, "typical_volume": 75412081.15, "trend": 9.606972, "fair_value": 8.377886, "relative_strength": -39.142487, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.915388, "energy": 65.403896, "activity_lines": [ 7.090667, 7.236127, 7.95066, 8.617227 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }