{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d06c8120-aaa7-4c8a-bd6d-fab4a105e718",
    "symbol": "300780",
    "name": "Sichuan Dawn Precision Technology Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -24.175,
    "architecture_energy": 39.32,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.158,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.173,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.97,
        "rotation_up": 19.38,
        "upward_expansion": 22.3,
        "deceleration": 63.34,
        "rotation_down": 69.6,
        "downward_expansion": 44.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.857333,
        24.953455,
        26.542762,
        26.134172
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 20.49,
    "trend_reference": 25.730333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.203664,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.490064,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.108163,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.030195,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.323762,
    "excess_performance": -0.331162,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.203664,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123154,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108163,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.564331,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110302,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.339151,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.323762,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.701727,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 41800876,
      "relative_activity": 0.955554,
      "balance": 0.701727,
      "dry_up": 1.029188,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.268799,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.94122,
      "from_high_reference": -0.449194,
      "from_low_reference": 0.258599
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.730333,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.490064,
      "structural_low": 16.48,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.027341,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.05042,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.141056,
        "worst_return": -0.06993,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.05116,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014661,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.263623,
        "worst_return": -0.158932,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.003179,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.04046,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.772485,
        "worst_return": -0.0957,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.210875,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.373604,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.136426,
        "worst_return": -0.060803,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.07919,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.203168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012278,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.159348,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.096334,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.094276,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.053939,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.131455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.09387,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.294222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.248723,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.506096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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        "relative_strength": 7.871517,
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "energy": 32.984396,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.82,
        "volume": 50909200,
        "typical_volume": 43849098.9,
        "trend": 25.746,
        "fair_value": 18.467628,
        "relative_strength": -15.366698,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 3.293173,
        "energy": 7.141007,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.42,
        "volume": 40639031,
        "typical_volume": 43041408.65,
        "trend": 25.69,
        "fair_value": 18.463141,
        "relative_strength": -20.348594,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.11543,
        "energy": 36.526648,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.752,
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          27.097381,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.49,
        "volume": 41800876,
        "typical_volume": 43745192.2,
        "trend": 25.730333,
        "fair_value": 18.490064,
        "relative_strength": -11.030195,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.174817,
        "energy": 39.319608,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}