{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d070879a-08b6-43ff-86aa-07c9e1c6cc85",
    "symbol": "600330",
    "name": "TDG Holding Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -24.513,
    "architecture_energy": 41.79,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.424,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.381,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.61,
        "rotation_up": 14.13,
        "upward_expansion": 19.82,
        "deceleration": 57.81,
        "rotation_down": 68.01,
        "downward_expansion": 47.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.925333,
        22.750727,
        25.144952,
        24.020968
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 23.01,
    "trend_reference": 21.804333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055295,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.701945,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.150076,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 36.850581,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.696903,
    "excess_performance": 0.740106,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055295,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.276202,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.150076,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.955002,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.368506,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.850256,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.696903,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.011002,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 642712712,
      "relative_activity": 1.10515,
      "balance": 1.011002,
      "dry_up": 0.878656,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.215826,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.877857,
      "from_high_reference": -0.384265,
      "from_low_reference": 1.965206
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.804333,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.701945,
      "structural_low": 13.5,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.121052,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.105878,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.00455,
        "worst_return": -0.237555,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.072704,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035865,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.089903,
        "worst_return": 0.055505,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.081274,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.095814,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.160541,
        "worst_return": 0.002007,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.053974,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.089903,
        "worst_return": 0.089903,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072956,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.014925,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
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        "return": 0.014686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.06701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.088068,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 10.536817,
        "relative_strength": 24.401225,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 1.518001,
        "energy": 16.111033,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.594667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.35,
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        "typical_volume": 614546539.2,
        "trend": 21.379667,
        "fair_value": 10.583705,
        "relative_strength": 15.758069,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -15.023636,
        "energy": 33.277139,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.610001,
        "volume": 439694752,
        "typical_volume": 589845531.05,
        "trend": 21.475,
        "fair_value": 10.620259,
        "relative_strength": 3.249921,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.511884,
        "energy": 48.958455,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.212667,
          23.301455,
          25.301572,
          23.921936
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.01,
        "volume": 642712712,
        "typical_volume": 581561295.4,
        "trend": 21.804333,
        "fair_value": 10.701945,
        "relative_strength": 36.850581,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.512575,
        "energy": 41.789795,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}