{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d07486ad-8ef3-4da2-889f-af451e804502", "symbol": "FNGR", "name": "FingerMotion Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.234, "architecture_energy": 71.368, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.425, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.69, "rotation_up": 22.75, "upward_expansion": 14.96, "deceleration": 44.51, "rotation_down": 66.88, "downward_expansion": 92.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.29664, 0.347671, 0.516353, 0.662108 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.2955, "trend_reference": 0.841357, "distance_from_trend": -0.648782, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.209842, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.86628, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -77.482948, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.744554, "excess_performance": -0.932008, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.648782, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.280543, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.86628, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.20058, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.774829, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197709, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.744554, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.308923, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56292363, "relative_activity": 9.248959, "balance": 2.308923, "dry_up": 2.991199, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.53099, "annualized_volatility": 1.028501, "from_high_reference": -0.865676, "from_low_reference": 0.737213 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.841357, "fair_value_reference": 2.209842, "structural_low": 0.1701, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": -0.062104, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.619048, "median_excess_return": -0.048342, "regime_survival": 0.880952, "best_return": 2.77084, "worst_return": -0.452941, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.04, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.127041, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 4.993659, "worst_return": -0.436096, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.189839, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.239052, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 3.575758, "worst_return": -0.665171, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.477723, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.211055, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.06338, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.803, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.97, "volume": 2044111, "typical_volume": 2836476.6, "trend": 2.738497, "fair_value": 4.891817, "relative_strength": 28.486619, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", 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"gate": "down", "direction": -79.712197, "energy": 85.18288, "activity_lines": [ 0.342487, 0.420093, 0.602814, 0.740829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.27, "volume": 14100051, "typical_volume": 3342459.15, "trend": 0.875173, "fair_value": 2.242948, "relative_strength": -78.842643, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.655256, "energy": 79.847355, "activity_lines": [ 0.310313, 0.376893, 0.555679, 0.699506 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.2955, "volume": 56292363, "typical_volume": 6086345.5, "trend": 0.841357, "fair_value": 2.209842, "relative_strength": -77.482948, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.233831, "energy": 71.368433, "activity_lines": [ 0.29664, 0.347671, 0.516353, 0.662108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }