{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d07954bb-2992-4667-95c9-a132ec9b8521", "symbol": "6877", "name": "Hye Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.044, "architecture_energy": 28.98, "architecture_maturity": 4.529, "architecture_confidence": 67.269, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.64, "rotation_up": 18.97, "upward_expansion": 18.8, "deceleration": 56.31, "rotation_down": 51.6, "downward_expansion": 43.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 121.233333, 123.929054, 133.847265, 132.953889 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 125.0, "trend_reference": 125.832438, "distance_from_trend": -0.006615, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.440725, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.725549, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.35293, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.512072, "excess_performance": 0.0707, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006615, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117671, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.725549, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.716394, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163529, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.297998, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.512072, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.627789, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 223105, "relative_activity": 0.080442, "balance": 0.627789, "dry_up": 0.159868, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.148767, "annualized_volatility": 0.634934, "from_high_reference": -0.366151, "from_low_reference": 0.602835 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 125.832438, "fair_value_reference": 72.440725, "structural_low": 79.879193, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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13.408137, "activity_lines": [ 129.214399, 134.12498, 141.03597, 133.628285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 122.5, "volume": 238110, "typical_volume": 3247356.35, "trend": 122.547572, "fair_value": 70.81765, "relative_strength": -15.467642, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.071567, "energy": 18.016498, "activity_lines": [ 126.920933, 130.936326, 139.493779, 133.70445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 112.0, "volume": 465260, "typical_volume": 3201038.4, "trend": 123.478825, "fair_value": 71.324103, "relative_strength": -21.46539, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.697971, "energy": 40.722951, "activity_lines": [ 121.5596, 126.472544, 136.88997, 133.023961 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 122.0, "volume": 847100, "typical_volume": 3052495.2, "trend": 124.607292, "fair_value": 71.860683, "relative_strength": -15.920162, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.923763, "energy": 36.895299, "activity_lines": [ 120.431333, 124.552218, 135.241151, 132.928553 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 125.0, "volume": 223105, "typical_volume": 2773500.4, "trend": 125.832438, "fair_value": 72.440725, "relative_strength": -16.35293, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.043528, "energy": 28.980029, "activity_lines": [ 121.233333, 123.929054, 133.847265, 132.953889 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }