{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d07c136b-9a38-4fcb-b826-e6189c4e1b5a", "symbol": "FLEX", "name": "Flex Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.373, "architecture_energy": 20.099, "architecture_maturity": 79.649, "architecture_confidence": 69.332, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.17, "rotation_up": 17.12, "upward_expansion": 46.18, "deceleration": 87.93, "rotation_down": 36.89, "downward_expansion": 26.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 119.438667, 127.275, 128.474024, 116.641118 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 121.35, "trend_reference": 100.4455, "distance_from_trend": 0.208118, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.484689, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.502852, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 31.36394, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.896686, "excess_performance": 0.709233, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.208118, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.314216, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.502852, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.195599, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.313639, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.646521, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.896686, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.211521, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19332986, "relative_activity": 0.668386, "balance": 0.211521, "dry_up": 0.85898, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.16743, "annualized_volatility": 0.731624, "from_high_reference": -0.272744, "from_low_reference": 1.537111 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 100.4455, "fair_value_reference": 48.484689, "structural_low": 58.53, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.026641, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": 0.032775, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.183673, "worst_return": -0.039813, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.043445, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.000653, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.368727, "worst_return": -0.15184, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.32823, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.210887, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.884981, "worst_return": 0.172534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.332276, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.202748, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.052041, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.032743, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.061983, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", 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"volume": 17578614, "typical_volume": 27685412.0, "trend": 96.7815, "fair_value": 47.170567, "relative_strength": 38.813338, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.21084, "energy": 24.56927, "activity_lines": [ 126.490667, 134.720273, 127.940143, 114.068989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 113.75, "volume": 42547922, "typical_volume": 28903904.05, "trend": 98.4505, "fair_value": 47.802259, "relative_strength": 30.983439, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.17051, "energy": 22.521816, "activity_lines": [ 120.599667, 130.136545, 127.964952, 115.163731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 121.35, "volume": 19332986, "typical_volume": 28924865.5, "trend": 100.4455, "fair_value": 48.484689, "relative_strength": 31.36394, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.372595, "energy": 20.099305, "activity_lines": [ 119.438667, 127.275, 128.474024, 116.641118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }