{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d081e034-b0f6-4186-a296-9bf59686885d",
    "symbol": "CRLA",
    "name": "Caisse R\u00e9gionale de Cr\u00e9dit Agricole Mutuel du Languedoc Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 coop\u00e9rative",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 34.024,
    "architecture_energy": 21.57,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.515,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.939,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.5,
        "rotation_up": 23.25,
        "upward_expansion": 56.19,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 31.5,
        "downward_expansion": 22.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        92.094666,
        92.916,
        91.875112,
        88.850249
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 91.959999,
    "trend_reference": 85.035325,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.081433,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 59.756617,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.538909,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.177948,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.173622,
    "excess_performance": 0.120311,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081433,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073249,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.538909,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002048,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041779,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099633,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173622,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.100547,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2224,
      "relative_activity": 0.617075,
      "balance": 5.100547,
      "dry_up": 1.014053,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049629,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.252731,
      "from_high_reference": -0.066396,
      "from_low_reference": 0.338921
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 85.035325,
      "fair_value_reference": 59.756617,
      "structural_low": 72.454842,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.028219,
        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012707,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.079336,
        "worst_return": -0.117647,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.041006,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031338,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.147417,
        "worst_return": -0.102971,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.067557,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.094183,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.611255,
        "worst_return": 0.003846,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.17145,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.117391,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.280026,
        "worst_return": 0.062875,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.061314,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.128817,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047238,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.005376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.134686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.311261,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.059086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.049412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.102095,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": true
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        "relative_strength": 12.502965,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.071171,
        "energy": 47.134127,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.690233,
          78.775058,
          78.029702,
          77.792985
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 85.419998,
        "volume": 4672,
        "typical_volume": 3960.2,
        "trend": 78.366387,
        "fair_value": 55.686978,
        "relative_strength": 14.126786,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.871705,
        "energy": 62.780004,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.824528,
          80.15131,
          78.790665,
          78.244526
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 86.0,
        "volume": 6005,
        "typical_volume": 3826.8,
        "trend": 78.423534,
        "fair_value": 55.958208,
        "relative_strength": 14.141265,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.19374,
        "energy": 76.281076,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.374231,
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          79.545589,
          78.737017
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 87.779999,
        "volume": 4401,
        "typical_volume": 3855.85,
        "trend": 78.533565,
        "fair_value": 56.232417,
        "relative_strength": 17.905004,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.713623,
        "energy": 79.505762,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.878666,
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          80.420276,
          79.34066
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 90.620003,
        "volume": 6461,
        "typical_volume": 4130.6,
        "trend": 78.78115,
        "fair_value": 56.521863,
        "relative_strength": 18.426861,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.182676,
        "energy": 82.592677,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.804667,
          84.817777,
          81.515496,
          80.12043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 94.0,
        "volume": 2963,
        "typical_volume": 4222.5,
        "trend": 79.231687,
        "fair_value": 56.816339,
        "relative_strength": 20.874459,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.536999,
        "energy": 86.966254,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.216,
          86.958064,
          82.874218,
          81.102292
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 97.32,
        "volume": 765,
        "typical_volume": 3923.85,
        "trend": 79.826104,
        "fair_value": 57.123695,
        "relative_strength": 23.527987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.935019,
        "energy": 93.675172,
        "activity_lines": [
          93.068,
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          84.47141,
          82.269279
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 98.199997,
        "volume": 1046,
        "typical_volume": 3887.5,
        "trend": 80.3586,
        "fair_value": 57.43389,
        "relative_strength": 21.623692,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.663648,
        "energy": 93.154354,
        "activity_lines": [
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          86.061183,
          83.454692
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 96.5,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 3764.95,
        "trend": 81.108835,
        "fair_value": 57.731004,
        "relative_strength": 17.673459,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.070832,
        "energy": 88.410966,
        "activity_lines": [
          96.391999,
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          87.384421,
          84.496073
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 94.510002,
        "volume": 461,
        "typical_volume": 3704.6,
        "trend": 81.744047,
        "fair_value": 58.019787,
        "relative_strength": 14.93121,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.828498,
        "energy": 86.272658,
        "activity_lines": [
          96.119333,
          93.845636,
          88.429431,
          85.360664
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 93.5,
        "volume": 41,
        "typical_volume": 3631.35,
        "trend": 82.41492,
        "fair_value": 58.305624,
        "relative_strength": 11.303947,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.465177,
        "energy": 69.743645,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.250667,
          94.220909,
          89.301325,
          86.119113
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 94.800003,
        "volume": 4419,
        "typical_volume": 3741.35,
        "trend": 83.156534,
        "fair_value": 58.601923,
        "relative_strength": 14.289797,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.47526,
        "energy": 60.006987,
        "activity_lines": [
          94.848668,
          94.660001,
          90.223439,
          86.91815
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 86.900002,
        "volume": 2622,
        "typical_volume": 3717.15,
        "trend": 83.534855,
        "fair_value": 58.856488,
        "relative_strength": 4.217453,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.671176,
        "energy": 32.888834,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.981335,
          93.492183,
          90.310305,
          87.159664
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 92.5,
        "volume": 6814,
        "typical_volume": 3874.5,
        "trend": 84.041801,
        "fair_value": 59.149639,
        "relative_strength": 9.915445,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.678673,
        "energy": 25.303681,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.734001,
          93.326183,
          90.894424,
          87.738061
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 93.879997,
        "volume": 2959,
        "typical_volume": 3758.9,
        "trend": 84.559277,
        "fair_value": 59.451692,
        "relative_strength": 9.257243,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.927463,
        "energy": 26.230326,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.213333,
          93.325273,
          91.518894,
          88.372783
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 91.959999,
        "volume": 2224,
        "typical_volume": 3604.1,
        "trend": 85.035325,
        "fair_value": 59.756617,
        "relative_strength": 4.177948,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.023657,
        "energy": 21.569975,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.094666,
          92.916,
          91.875112,
          88.850249
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}