{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d084b201-8f76-4761-a8f8-3bbc4be53ca4", "symbol": "UBSI", "name": "United Bankshares Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.168, "architecture_energy": 73.388, "architecture_maturity": 41.021, "architecture_confidence": 81.215, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.69, "rotation_up": 76.75, "upward_expansion": 93.43, "deceleration": 42.7, "rotation_down": 12.99, "downward_expansion": 15.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.004667, 47.203774, 45.690318, 44.607413 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 48.32, "trend_reference": 43.423347, "distance_from_trend": 0.112765, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.215279, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.372132, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.570092, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.080729, "excess_performance": -0.106725, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.112765, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074126, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.372132, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094942, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045701, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100293, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080729, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.410277, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3817584, "relative_activity": 0.831623, "balance": 2.410277, "dry_up": 1.108883, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039804, "annualized_volatility": 0.198646, "from_high_reference": -0.026199, "from_low_reference": 0.456526 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.423347, "fair_value_reference": 35.215279, "structural_low": 37.77611, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.004362, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.010176, "regime_survival": 0.590909, "best_return": 0.118938, "worst_return": -0.103354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 3.7e-05, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.029748, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.117523, "worst_return": -0.260036, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.02664, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.068761, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.069505, "worst_return": -0.273723, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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[ 45.946, 45.046273, 43.924998, 43.218398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.58, "volume": 5260646, "typical_volume": 4669465.0, "trend": 42.485091, "fair_value": 34.854125, "relative_strength": 7.849956, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.177925, "energy": 79.554102, "activity_lines": [ 46.554667, 45.647384, 44.379166, 43.56506 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.8, "volume": 6266432, "typical_volume": 4736799.6, "trend": 42.78517, "fair_value": 34.973068, "relative_strength": 9.837833, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.438338, "energy": 77.033979, "activity_lines": [ 47.108, 46.206161, 44.820885, 43.907957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.45, "volume": 5016735, "typical_volume": 4721891.35, "trend": 43.143258, "fair_value": 35.094307, "relative_strength": 10.413295, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.020531, "energy": 77.740642, "activity_lines": [ 47.652667, 46.767214, 45.284633, 44.27343 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.32, "volume": 3817584, "typical_volume": 4590521.6, "trend": 43.423347, "fair_value": 35.215279, "relative_strength": 4.570092, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.167902, "energy": 73.387876, "activity_lines": [ 48.004667, 47.203774, 45.690318, 44.607413 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }