{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d0878a39-93b6-4725-92a0-20c235f1d346", "symbol": "BOOM", "name": "Audioboom Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.5, "architecture_energy": 35.032, "architecture_maturity": 74.478, "architecture_confidence": 80.529, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.88, "rotation_up": 25.8, "upward_expansion": 16.27, "deceleration": 46.77, "rotation_down": 37.77, "downward_expansion": 63.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 465.333333, 461.863636, 495.0, 514.582796 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 445.0, "trend_reference": 549.966667, "distance_from_trend": -0.19086, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 374.298077, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.188892, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.694152, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.224739, "excess_performance": -0.291017, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.19086, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095375, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.188892, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.439558, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.266942, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.327496, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.224739, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.625447, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 295971, "relative_activity": 1.267126, "balance": 1.625447, "dry_up": 1.831287, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112057, "annualized_volatility": 0.6226, "from_high_reference": -0.450617, "from_low_reference": 0.348485 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 549.966667, "fair_value_reference": 374.298077, "structural_low": 410.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.012758, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.002377, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.62963, "worst_return": -0.322314, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.134212, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.123025, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.224, "worst_return": -0.375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.117647, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.115386, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.544, "worst_return": -0.435606, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.258065, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.104, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.142857, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.483721, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Established", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 470.0, "volume": 842814, "typical_volume": 232627.8, "trend": 572.35, "fair_value": 370.403846, "relative_strength": -20.11184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.132268, "energy": 68.776817, "activity_lines": [ 454.666667, 471.909091, 510.714286, 533.434409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 500.0, "volume": 294802, "typical_volume": 238845.9, "trend": 567.216667, "fair_value": 371.782051, "relative_strength": -16.269152, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.564246, "energy": 40.376733, "activity_lines": [ 472.666667, 472.727273, 507.988095, 528.766667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 462.5, "volume": 277396, "typical_volume": 239754.65, "trend": 560.133333, "fair_value": 372.855769, "relative_strength": -23.521184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.753636, "energy": 32.683202, "activity_lines": [ 473.5, 468.0, 502.238095, 522.010753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 445.0, "volume": 295971, "typical_volume": 233576.6, "trend": 549.966667, "fair_value": 374.298077, "relative_strength": -26.694152, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.500484, "energy": 35.032055, "activity_lines": [ 465.333333, 461.863636, 495.0, 514.582796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }