{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d09a250e-fb41-4703-a929-6d90213c9e17", "symbol": "XINT", "name": "Xintela AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.684, "architecture_energy": 52.87, "architecture_maturity": 94.534, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.43, "rotation_up": 19.03, "upward_expansion": 9.74, "deceleration": 42.54, "rotation_down": 62.61, "downward_expansion": 87.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1892, 0.195036, 0.210252, 0.223041 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.1865, "trend_reference": 0.242567, "distance_from_trend": -0.231139, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.321698, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.420264, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.208438, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.314338, "excess_performance": -0.375833, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.231139, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103591, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.420264, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149853, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.432084, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056142, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.314338, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.27399, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 966230, "relative_activity": 0.774081, "balance": 0.27399, "dry_up": 0.871721, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.184368, "annualized_volatility": 0.621673, "from_high_reference": -0.650749, "from_low_reference": 0.065714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.242567, "fair_value_reference": 0.321698, "structural_low": 0.175, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.486486, "directional_follow_through": 0.459459, "median_excess_return": 0.004363, "regime_survival": 0.837838, "best_return": 0.559567, "worst_return": -0.633523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.007463, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.067452, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.233161, "worst_return": -0.652034, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.16129, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.235473, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.078189, "worst_return": -0.649379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"direction": -60.116522, "energy": 37.70892, "activity_lines": [ 0.206033, 0.210618, 0.22669, 0.239116 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.19, "volume": 1181864, "typical_volume": 1367832.25, "trend": 0.252783, "fair_value": 0.323099, "relative_strength": -42.229001, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.454772, "energy": 38.47235, "activity_lines": [ 0.201, 0.205573, 0.22216, 0.234919 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.19, "volume": 825023, "typical_volume": 1329855.55, "trend": 0.25015, "fair_value": 0.32265, "relative_strength": -42.224738, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.201083, "energy": 49.487707, "activity_lines": [ 0.196633, 0.2014, 0.218043, 0.230869 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.189, "volume": 1379309, "typical_volume": 1272009.4, "trend": 0.246683, "fair_value": 0.322163, "relative_strength": -42.350556, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.537472, "energy": 52.806278, "activity_lines": [ 0.191867, 0.197809, 0.214164, 0.226924 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1865, "volume": 966230, "typical_volume": 1248228.55, "trend": 0.242567, "fair_value": 0.321698, "relative_strength": -43.208438, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.684033, "energy": 52.869707, "activity_lines": [ 0.1892, 0.195036, 0.210252, 0.223041 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }