{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d09be355-dc8d-4cc1-8bf6-424b41c50108",
    "symbol": "PHX",
    "name": "PHX Energy Services Corp.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 21.797,
    "architecture_energy": 21.13,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.252,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.842,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.21,
        "rotation_up": 50.66,
        "upward_expansion": 30.19,
        "deceleration": 49.35,
        "rotation_down": 17.57,
        "downward_expansion": 21.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        10.945843,
        11.074492
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 11.71,
    "trend_reference": 10.798793,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.08438,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.033192,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.457702,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 13.776407,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.396443,
    "excess_performance": 0.276022,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08438,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126353,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.457702,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015645,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137764,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022466,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.396443,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.014178,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 750700,
      "relative_activity": 1.119971,
      "balance": 3.014178,
      "dry_up": 0.711973,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0569,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.545414,
      "from_high_reference": -0.161123,
      "from_low_reference": 0.804834
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.798793,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.033192,
      "structural_low": 8.327425,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.022222,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016067,
        "regime_survival": 0.466667,
        "best_return": 0.398964,
        "worst_return": -0.08,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.117063,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025082,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.469411,
        "worst_return": -0.174176,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.092861,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.08121,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.394401,
        "worst_return": -0.082427,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.333402,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.14863,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.770266,
        "worst_return": 0.004676,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.057143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.052139,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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    ],
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 1102850.0,
        "trend": 9.729959,
        "fair_value": 7.710582,
        "relative_strength": 14.361639,
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        "energy": 15.977507,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 122700,
        "typical_volume": 1069155.0,
        "trend": 9.874178,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 10.103949,
        "fair_value": 7.826708,
        "relative_strength": 2.447455,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "direction": -10.051414,
        "energy": 22.797128,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 10.2,
        "volume": 56800,
        "typical_volume": 978240.0,
        "trend": 10.197771,
        "fair_value": 7.86069,
        "relative_strength": 3.414827,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 34.427341,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 488700,
        "typical_volume": 974385.0,
        "trend": 10.302871,
        "fair_value": 7.894135,
        "relative_strength": 4.579564,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -3.728185,
        "energy": 40.113936,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.332181,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 10.61,
        "volume": 367500,
        "typical_volume": 856270.0,
        "trend": 10.419175,
        "fair_value": 7.927382,
        "relative_strength": 7.280763,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.349255,
        "energy": 42.919807,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.382764,
          10.563541,
          11.03072,
          10.963429
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.99,
        "volume": 392600,
        "typical_volume": 772235.0,
        "trend": 10.545942,
        "fair_value": 7.962718,
        "relative_strength": 10.533735,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -7.08678,
        "energy": 14.216349,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.58877,
          10.605963,
          10.984478,
          11.000257
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.64,
        "volume": 398100,
        "typical_volume": 722015.0,
        "trend": 10.653403,
        "fair_value": 7.995812,
        "relative_strength": 7.279155,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -11.365361,
        "energy": 10.887982,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.658,
          10.589961,
          10.910551,
          11.006325
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.71,
        "volume": 750700,
        "typical_volume": 670285.0,
        "trend": 10.798793,
        "fair_value": 8.033192,
        "relative_strength": 13.776407,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.797225,
        "energy": 21.130359,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.042667,
          10.787213,
          10.945843,
          11.074492
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}