{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d09c1e95-7643-46c8-a272-d5b6a615915d", "symbol": "600063", "name": "Anhui Wanwei Updated High-Tech Material Industry Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 66.001, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.267, "architecture_energy": 70.21, "architecture_maturity": 12.645, "architecture_confidence": 74.785, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.26, "rotation_up": 8.39, "upward_expansion": 15.46, "deceleration": 37.22, "rotation_down": 70.23, "downward_expansion": 86.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.782, 6.333455, 6.684929, 6.788604 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.13, "trend_reference": 6.872704, "distance_from_trend": -0.108066, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.857764, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261898, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.917443, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.125159, "excess_performance": -0.081955, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.108066, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040689, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.261898, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15865, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.039174, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08868, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.125159, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.321119, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 273885003, "relative_activity": 0.953227, "balance": 1.321119, "dry_up": 1.045359, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149927, "annualized_volatility": 0.653287, "from_high_reference": -0.320399, "from_low_reference": 0.26982 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.872704, "fair_value_reference": 4.857764, "structural_low": 5.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.012988, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.590909, "median_excess_return": -0.008131, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.241025, "worst_return": -0.114977, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.050253, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.018299, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.225714, "worst_return": -0.250535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.143868, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.077605, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.663857, "worst_return": -0.207869, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 5.753333, 6.476545, 6.752495, 6.835963 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.13, "volume": 273885003, "typical_volume": 287323878.75, "trend": 6.872704, "fair_value": 4.857764, "relative_strength": -3.917443, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.267381, "energy": 70.209919, "activity_lines": [ 5.782, 6.333455, 6.684929, 6.788604 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }