{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d0d1625f-f1e2-4eaf-82db-8edac20d5e41",
    "symbol": "4766",
    "name": "Nan Pao Resins Chemical Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -14.239,
    "architecture_energy": 25.677,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.195,
    "architecture_confidence": 41.853,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.84,
        "rotation_up": 16.26,
        "upward_expansion": 17.7,
        "deceleration": 56.41,
        "rotation_down": 53.3,
        "downward_expansion": 42.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 338.0,
    "trend_reference": 328.973385,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.027439,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 291.736057,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.158582,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.297939,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.153203,
    "excess_performance": -0.288169,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027439,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0302,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158582,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118526,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.282979,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004998,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153203,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.324372,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.301233,
      "balance": 1.324372,
      "dry_up": 0.415359,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076128,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.446191,
      "from_high_reference": -0.201828,
      "from_low_reference": 0.180021
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 328.973385,
      "fair_value_reference": 291.736057,
      "structural_low": 287.862894,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.022801,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010764,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.082555,
        "worst_return": -0.040367,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.041487,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.298046,
        "worst_return": -0.070993,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.038461,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032611,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.04377,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3968582.25,
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        "fair_value": 287.317985,
        "relative_strength": -27.866766,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 965110,
        "typical_volume": 3927918.85,
        "trend": 326.848921,
        "fair_value": 288.528602,
        "relative_strength": -29.284311,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.325274,
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        "activity_lines": [
          338.5,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 308.5,
        "volume": 2707877,
        "typical_volume": 3965725.5,
        "trend": 327.1879,
        "fair_value": 289.510093,
        "relative_strength": -32.350761,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -9.939359,
        "energy": 20.272454,
        "activity_lines": [
          327.2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 326.5,
        "volume": 1375124,
        "typical_volume": 3872197.1,
        "trend": 327.984137,
        "fair_value": 290.579299,
        "relative_strength": -29.194759,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.969454,
        "energy": 29.423563,
        "activity_lines": [
          324.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 338.0,
        "volume": 1117963,
        "typical_volume": 3711290.45,
        "trend": 328.973385,
        "fair_value": 291.736057,
        "relative_strength": -28.297939,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.23891,
        "energy": 25.676771,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}