{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d0db4cc8-1a0f-406a-96a5-8021cb4ba125", "symbol": "603337", "name": "Jack Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 69.668, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 1.894, "architecture_energy": 7.42, "architecture_maturity": 19.897, "architecture_confidence": 80.358, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 71.92, "rotation_up": 33.07, "upward_expansion": 33.89, "deceleration": 34.56, "rotation_down": 26.94, "downward_expansion": 46.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.430667, 40.544276, 40.236356, 40.601413 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 44.66, "trend_reference": 41.656275, "distance_from_trend": 0.072107, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.021731, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.394678, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.882096, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.003596, "excess_performance": 0.046799, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072107, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003909, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.394678, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024489, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.048821, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155485, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.003596, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.902844, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45398856, "relative_activity": 2.580659, "balance": 1.902844, "dry_up": 1.529272, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10521, "annualized_volatility": 0.446881, "from_high_reference": -0.221001, "from_low_reference": 0.26695 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.656275, "fair_value_reference": 32.021731, "structural_low": 35.25, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.030218, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.00175, "regime_survival": 0.4375, "best_return": 0.234542, "worst_return": -0.121655, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.068867, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.054273, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.339052, "worst_return": -0.155702, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.008969, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.055811, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.2432, "worst_return": -0.193348, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-14.148119, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.62388, "energy": 24.37352, "activity_lines": [ 39.486, 39.827262, 39.987418, 40.809355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.59, "volume": 22956619, "typical_volume": 16194556.35, "trend": 41.587941, "fair_value": 31.584379, "relative_strength": -7.897942, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.481789, "energy": 36.692564, "activity_lines": [ 38.788, 39.345133, 39.699569, 40.54766 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.779999, "volume": 20842166, "typical_volume": 15962752.35, "trend": 41.516941, "fair_value": 31.709764, "relative_strength": -8.515592, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.739016, "energy": 31.634145, "activity_lines": [ 38.210666, 38.965572, 39.462578, 40.301986 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.110001, "volume": 18413956, "typical_volume": 15924055.6, "trend": 41.611941, "fair_value": 31.861209, "relative_strength": 4.056554, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.885171, "energy": 13.231132, "activity_lines": [ 39.736667, 39.616256, 39.771157, 40.404764 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.66, "volume": 45398856, "typical_volume": 17591960.8, "trend": 41.656275, "fair_value": 32.021731, "relative_strength": 4.882096, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.894477, "energy": 7.419739, "activity_lines": [ 41.430667, 40.544276, 40.236356, 40.601413 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }