{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d0ddf9fa-6759-4d27-afa0-eedbf3069732", "symbol": "300287", "name": "Beijing Philisense Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.535, "architecture_energy": 23.437, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.79, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.93, "rotation_up": 25.53, "upward_expansion": 14.47, "deceleration": 46.77, "rotation_down": 29.09, "downward_expansion": 59.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.735333, 3.659818, 3.812095, 4.009419 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.85, "trend_reference": 4.329, "distance_from_trend": -0.110649, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.404936, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.12598, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.304046, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.262452, "excess_performance": -0.269852, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110649, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106747, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.12598, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.136677, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.24304, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079172, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.262452, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.248511, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 284374962, "relative_activity": 1.576924, "balance": 1.248511, "dry_up": 1.8628, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124875, "annualized_volatility": 0.430335, "from_high_reference": -0.457746, "from_low_reference": 0.222222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.329, "fair_value_reference": 4.404936, "structural_low": 3.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.058543, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": 0.021382, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.178218, "worst_return": -0.323308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.016949, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.019623, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 1.454545, "worst_return": -0.296875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.069652, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.045433, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.254072, "worst_return": -0.363636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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3.99581, 4.241247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.88, "volume": 443139520, "typical_volume": 137793636.75, "trend": 4.498333, "fair_value": 4.417244, "relative_strength": -31.12294, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.935231, "energy": 54.855584, "activity_lines": [ 3.583333, 3.702364, 3.960905, 4.198731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.68, "volume": 533744833, "typical_volume": 159010763.2, "trend": 4.451, "fair_value": 4.412308, "relative_strength": -27.303979, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.893962, "energy": 44.278969, "activity_lines": [ 3.634667, 3.665636, 3.912762, 4.145935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.46, "volume": 300014447, "typical_volume": 165809919.15, "trend": 4.401333, "fair_value": 4.408013, "relative_strength": -31.049249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.259044, "energy": 39.334246, "activity_lines": [ 3.599333, 3.603273, 3.850476, 4.082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.79, "volume": 225579058, "typical_volume": 171310373.5, "trend": 4.363667, "fair_value": 4.405577, "relative_strength": -22.433608, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.872857, "energy": 26.362053, "activity_lines": [ 3.678667, 3.621273, 3.82619, 4.042559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.85, "volume": 284374962, "typical_volume": 180335193.9, "trend": 4.329, "fair_value": 4.404936, "relative_strength": -24.304046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.534765, "energy": 23.43652, "activity_lines": [ 3.735333, 3.659818, 3.812095, 4.009419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }