{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d0e78c4a-e3b5-4ce9-8963-a73604a6c37c", "symbol": "STAE", "name": "Leverage Shares 3x Short Taiwan ETC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -8.917, "architecture_energy": 32.991, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 50.174, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.63, "rotation_up": 47.05, "upward_expansion": 31.8, "deceleration": 47.33, "rotation_down": 21.47, "downward_expansion": 53.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.217, 22.891454, 22.140143, 28.168864 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 24.334999, "trend_reference": 37.699132, "distance_from_trend": -0.354494, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 302.179621, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.919468, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -66.995555, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.618872, "excess_performance": -0.670108, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.354494, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.397889, "read": "Falling" 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38.913622 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 14.8, "volume": 24511, "typical_volume": 5900.6, "trend": 50.979965, "fair_value": 329.015999, "relative_strength": -82.985819, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.198953, "energy": 76.872602, "activity_lines": [ 14.656667, 16.863637, 26.761647, 36.401366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 12.2, "volume": 24460, "typical_volume": 7121.15, "trend": 48.299965, "fair_value": 324.104621, "relative_strength": -85.697302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.487438, "energy": 75.403255, "activity_lines": [ 13.693333, 15.599091, 24.502128, 33.899433 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 13.1, "volume": 86134, "typical_volume": 11425.95, "trend": 45.544965, "fair_value": 320.074012, "relative_strength": -83.808505, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.409024, "energy": 83.662732, "activity_lines": [ 13.273333, 14.779091, 22.533085, 31.628468 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.84, "volume": 341, "typical_volume": 11442.4, "trend": 43.304632, "fair_value": 315.744461, "relative_strength": -59.81573, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.309632, "energy": 51.309462, "activity_lines": [ 19.36, 17.58, 22.53809, 30.744276 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.4, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 11349.7, "trend": 41.244632, "fair_value": 311.698948, "relative_strength": -62.195972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.923862, "energy": 34.934038, "activity_lines": [ 23.524, 19.735636, 22.390048, 29.847203 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.4, "volume": 165, "typical_volume": 11214.7, "trend": 39.504632, "fair_value": 307.140614, "relative_strength": -59.995768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.07468, "energy": 34.994719, "activity_lines": [ 26.901333, 21.964909, 22.480571, 29.14755 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.334999, "volume": 30, "typical_volume": 11215.75, "trend": 37.699132, "fair_value": 302.179621, "relative_strength": -66.995555, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.917144, "energy": 32.991398, "activity_lines": [ 27.217, 22.891454, 22.140143, 28.168864 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }