{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d0ed9717-4e92-4e14-86b3-f1e2782c7379", "symbol": "YACO", "name": "Yacobi Brothers Group (YSB) Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.833, "architecture_energy": 29.324, "architecture_maturity": 27.507, "architecture_confidence": 85.584, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.79, "rotation_up": 49.69, "upward_expansion": 69.69, "deceleration": 48.48, "rotation_down": 15.57, "downward_expansion": 13.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.874733, 0.865764, 0.860248, 0.861858 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.893, "trend_reference": 0.8555, "distance_from_trend": 0.043834, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.586244, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.523258, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.461646, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.007901, "excess_performance": -0.021, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043834, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075605, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.523258, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070079, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.074616, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146507, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.007901, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.197365, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 91778, "relative_activity": 0.326987, "balance": 1.197365, "dry_up": 0.420137, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065208, "annualized_volatility": 0.265542, "from_high_reference": -0.054025, "from_low_reference": 0.691288 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.8555, "fair_value_reference": 0.586244, "structural_low": 0.775, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.024809, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": -0.02644, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.378446, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.119368, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.164793, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.471033, "worst_return": -0.227099, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.115854, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.210375, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.397129, "worst_return": -0.328358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.849733, 0.847273, 0.856843, 0.85132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.871, "volume": 123000, "typical_volume": 366451.05, "trend": 0.831167, "fair_value": 0.577506, "relative_strength": 6.356872, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.51819, "energy": 17.426276, "activity_lines": [ 0.8582, 0.8516, 0.857495, 0.854398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.855, "volume": 2954, "typical_volume": 342572.25, "trend": 0.838533, "fair_value": 0.579808, "relative_strength": 2.887894, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.350953, "energy": 13.49793, "activity_lines": [ 0.8592, 0.852455, 0.856605, 0.855935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.849, "volume": 41822, "typical_volume": 323716.8, "trend": 0.8436, "fair_value": 0.582038, "relative_strength": -0.08854, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.18189, "energy": 8.839354, "activity_lines": [ 0.8552, 0.852836, 0.855286, 0.856611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.882, "volume": 335139, "typical_volume": 309175.4, "trend": 0.850067, "fair_value": 0.583981, "relative_strength": 6.628275, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.471324, "energy": 18.772908, "activity_lines": [ 0.8642, 0.8588, 0.857271, 0.859088 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.893, "volume": 91778, "typical_volume": 280677.95, "trend": 0.8555, "fair_value": 0.586244, "relative_strength": 7.461646, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.83313, "energy": 29.323784, "activity_lines": [ 0.874733, 0.865764, 0.860248, 0.861858 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }