{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d0f3692a-3343-4ce4-ad31-69528e118e33", "symbol": "5272", "name": "AMICCOM Electronics Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.685, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.311, "architecture_energy": 78.641, "architecture_maturity": 19.199, "architecture_confidence": 86.107, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.86, "rotation_up": 10.23, "upward_expansion": 18.73, "deceleration": 37.16, "rotation_down": 78.46, "downward_expansion": 96.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.926667, 18.821818, 20.290714, 20.94828 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 17.9, "trend_reference": 21.436667, "distance_from_trend": -0.164982, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.918269, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.335024, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.519962, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.133172, "excess_performance": -0.574544, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.164982, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002338, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.335024, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146446, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.3952, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096201, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.133172, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.779197, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 380003, "relative_activity": 0.242599, "balance": 0.779197, "dry_up": 0.427452, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100774, "annualized_volatility": 0.395614, "from_high_reference": -0.364121, "from_low_reference": 0.104938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.436667, "fair_value_reference": 26.918269, "structural_low": 16.200001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.011491, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.423077, "median_excess_return": -0.016773, "regime_survival": 0.730769, "best_return": 0.431221, "worst_return": -0.144689, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.027375, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.057172, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.259406, "worst_return": -0.198819, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.015075, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.118339, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.429703, "worst_return": -0.310169, "sufficient": 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"relative_strength": -37.713115, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.922649, "energy": 73.213824, "activity_lines": [ 19.446667, 20.316364, 21.469048, 21.692688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.4, "volume": 591500, "typical_volume": 1735016.9, "trend": 21.591667, "fair_value": 27.026923, "relative_strength": -39.392638, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.02432, "energy": 81.76582, "activity_lines": [ 18.606667, 19.659091, 21.021429, 21.415269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.950001, "volume": 1321605, "typical_volume": 1708025.15, "trend": 21.496667, "fair_value": 26.96859, "relative_strength": -38.079944, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.51245, "energy": 79.329984, "activity_lines": [ 18.163334, 19.207273, 20.647381, 21.180323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.9, "volume": 380003, "typical_volume": 1566382.15, "trend": 21.436667, "fair_value": 26.918269, "relative_strength": -39.519962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.311396, "energy": 78.641332, "activity_lines": [ 17.926667, 18.821818, 20.290714, 20.94828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }