{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d106f58a-3da2-4d5a-bfce-7ce5de28cf4c", "symbol": "WM", "name": "Wallbridge Mining Company Limited", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 48.288, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.949, "architecture_energy": 23.028, "architecture_maturity": 21.356, "architecture_confidence": 70.439, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.53, "rotation_up": 14.49, "upward_expansion": 11.81, "deceleration": 54.95, "rotation_down": 56.92, "downward_expansion": 68.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.090667, 0.092545, 0.093095, 0.092495 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.09, "trend_reference": 0.093667, "distance_from_trend": -0.039146, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.086538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.230375, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.1, "excess_performance": -0.220421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039146, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007168, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.04, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.154265, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152304, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025293, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.704318, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1889000, "relative_activity": 0.530308, "balance": 5.704318, "dry_up": 0.780345, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128205, "annualized_volatility": 0.743813, "from_high_reference": -0.357143, "from_low_reference": 0.285714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.093667, "fair_value_reference": 0.086538, "structural_low": 0.07, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.086957, "positive_rate": 0.117647, "directional_follow_through": 0.117647, "median_excess_return": -0.074238, "regime_survival": 0.470588, "best_return": 0.125, "worst_return": -0.333333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.222222, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.311394, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.428571, "worst_return": -0.589744, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.333333, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.396096, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.571429, "worst_return": -0.615385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.415459, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.516516, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.428571, "worst_return": -0.762712, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.125, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.285714, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.375, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.13, "volume": 4514800, "typical_volume": 2042620.0, "trend": 0.151667, "fair_value": 0.420897, "relative_strength": -20.601841, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established 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"trend": 0.094667, "fair_value": 0.087308, "relative_strength": -12.593505, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.088271, "energy": 6.031967, "activity_lines": [ 0.094667, 0.096364, 0.093381, 0.093333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.09, "volume": 2319500, "typical_volume": 3670520.0, "trend": 0.094333, "fair_value": 0.087051, "relative_strength": -12.852699, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.018658, "energy": 4.924475, "activity_lines": [ 0.093333, 0.095091, 0.093286, 0.093032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.09, "volume": 4387100, "typical_volume": 3724365.0, "trend": 0.094, "fair_value": 0.086795, "relative_strength": -12.47834, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.671627, "energy": 15.510076, "activity_lines": [ 0.092, 0.093636, 0.09319, 0.092753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.09, "volume": 1889000, "typical_volume": 3562080.0, "trend": 0.093667, "fair_value": 0.086538, "relative_strength": -15.230375, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.948933, "energy": 23.028084, "activity_lines": [ 0.090667, 0.092545, 0.093095, 0.092495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }