{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d1157c15-5391-4cdc-bae3-720f20c21068", "symbol": "COIN", "name": "Coinbase Global, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.83, "architecture_energy": 47.783, "architecture_maturity": 32.091, "architecture_confidence": 91.414, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.62, "rotation_up": 19.87, "upward_expansion": 7.16, "deceleration": 46.43, "rotation_down": 56.52, "downward_expansion": 80.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 2656.195996, 2706.867991, 2870.667755, 2969.399764 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2602.0, "trend_reference": 3108.06368, "distance_from_trend": -0.162823, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3983.520201, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.346809, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.214106, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.079264, "excess_performance": -0.024597, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.162823, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177559, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.346809, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.224236, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.392141, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00219, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.079264, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.294043, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4192, "relative_activity": 1.111627, "balance": 1.294043, "dry_up": 0.793546, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.119565, "annualized_volatility": 0.6171, "from_high_reference": -0.647234, "from_low_reference": 0.078326 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3108.06368, "fair_value_reference": 3983.520201, 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"trend": 3165.330347, "fair_value": 3975.943214, "relative_strength": -41.355581, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.118061, "energy": 43.571656, "activity_lines": [ 2708.371321, 2741.315079, 2911.791755, 3005.743657 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2602.0, "volume": 4192, "typical_volume": 3771.05, "trend": 3108.06368, "fair_value": 3983.520201, "relative_strength": -39.214106, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.82981, "energy": 47.783495, "activity_lines": [ 2656.195996, 2706.867991, 2870.667755, 2969.399764 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }