{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d119c9f6-32d1-4b4a-8760-c9890ae6dc2e",
    "symbol": "PRLD",
    "name": "Prelude Therapeutics\u00a0Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.48,
    "architecture_energy": 25.044,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.896,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.785,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.2,
        "rotation_up": 40.68,
        "upward_expansion": 70.99,
        "deceleration": 85.18,
        "rotation_down": 27.55,
        "downward_expansion": 8.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.506333,
        4.492545,
        4.422381,
        4.179398
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 4.9,
    "trend_reference": 3.7115,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.320221,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.68796,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.822944,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 57.106826,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 1.258065,
    "excess_performance": 1.070611,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.320221,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.290508,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.822944,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034817,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.571068,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.579086,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.258065,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.000606,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1073866,
      "relative_activity": 0.531008,
      "balance": 1.000606,
      "dry_up": 0.835093,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.168446,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.688714,
      "from_high_reference": -0.13884,
      "from_low_reference": 5.533333
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.7115,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.68796,
      "structural_low": 1.95,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.019771,
        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.588235,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023189,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.540984,
        "worst_return": -0.592308,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.118423,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001563,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.642857,
        "worst_return": -0.787671,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.097285,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.072275,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.280992,
        "worst_return": -0.254032,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.833484,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2023-12-15",
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        "return": -0.033333,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-02-02",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1950235.5,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.83,
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        "typical_volume": 1954248.45,
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        "fair_value": 2.673986,
        "relative_strength": 36.113118,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 30.447628,
        "energy": 18.367572,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.6,
        "volume": 3146768,
        "typical_volume": 2019774.95,
        "trend": 3.635833,
        "fair_value": 2.679947,
        "relative_strength": 58.735544,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.984004,
        "energy": 18.963839,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.357119,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.9,
        "volume": 1073866,
        "typical_volume": 2022316.75,
        "trend": 3.7115,
        "fair_value": 2.68796,
        "relative_strength": 57.106826,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.479734,
        "energy": 25.044095,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}