{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d129625d-e1bd-4175-aaf3-743a30a2be8a", "symbol": "CLXC34", "name": "The Clorox Company", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 52.892, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 16.276, "architecture_energy": 25.584, "architecture_maturity": 9.491, "architecture_confidence": 53.731, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.44, "rotation_up": 43.16, "upward_expansion": 36.06, "deceleration": 37.54, "rotation_down": 14.13, "downward_expansion": 44.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 126.961333, 125.75, 123.674439, 126.811388 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 130.0, "trend_reference": 132.003975, "distance_from_trend": -0.015181, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 169.120476, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.231317, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.243723, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.152181, "excess_performance": -0.095133, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.015181, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030199, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.231317, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116002, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112437, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.263205, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.152181, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.651399, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 685, "relative_activity": 1.07451, "balance": 2.651399, "dry_up": 0.393725, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023414, "annualized_volatility": 0.269771, "from_high_reference": -0.269737, "from_low_reference": 0.287129 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 132.003975, "fair_value_reference": 169.120476, "structural_low": 101.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.134009, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.139371, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.1932, "worst_return": 0.074818, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.140697, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.107318, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.1932, "worst_return": 0.088194, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.001604, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.003106, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.266256, "worst_return": -0.269463, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-21.777894, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.638948, "energy": 24.718184, "activity_lines": [ 124.470001, 122.660001, 123.500889, 128.407179 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 124.449997, "volume": 311, "typical_volume": 603.8, "trend": 132.758377, "fair_value": 170.125548, "relative_strength": -18.890737, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.990193, "energy": 19.588687, "activity_lines": [ 124.463333, 123.357455, 123.129729, 127.850551 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 124.07, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 603.65, "trend": 132.46473, "fair_value": 169.806171, "relative_strength": -18.201422, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.239898, "energy": 19.32247, "activity_lines": [ 124.331333, 123.786727, 122.906475, 127.29001 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 127.209999, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 603.55, "trend": 132.16391, "fair_value": 169.458762, "relative_strength": -16.856807, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.383426, "energy": 16.44178, "activity_lines": [ 125.272666, 124.612, 123.11577, 126.950995 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 130.0, "volume": 685, "typical_volume": 637.5, "trend": 132.003975, "fair_value": 169.120476, "relative_strength": -11.243723, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 16.275936, "energy": 25.583611, "activity_lines": [ 126.961333, 125.75, 123.674439, 126.811388 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }