{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d137e17c-d49b-4bc5-b92e-7f4af0ff620e",
    "symbol": "SPXT",
    "name": "PROSHARES TRUST S&P 500 EX TECHNOLOGY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 54.108,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.747,
    "architecture_energy": 64.06,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.932,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.764,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.33,
        "rotation_up": 68.65,
        "upward_expansion": 86.85,
        "deceleration": 48.16,
        "rotation_down": 16.86,
        "downward_expansion": 11.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        107.659975
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 111.96,
    "trend_reference": 106.71516,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.049148,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 90.491528,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.237243,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.195996,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.044571,
    "excess_performance": -0.081054,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049148,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020383,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.237243,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001692,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04196,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004014,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044571,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.712524,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 53872,
      "relative_activity": 0.576414,
      "balance": 1.712524,
      "dry_up": 0.881572,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018424,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.110086,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012001,
      "from_low_reference": 0.172672
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 106.71516,
      "fair_value_reference": 90.491528,
      "structural_low": 99.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.015444,
        "positive_rate": 0.674419,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.674419,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000113,
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        "worst_return": -0.079004,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "trend": 103.019058,
        "fair_value": 86.443551,
        "relative_strength": -1.446763,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.332155,
        "energy": 18.673238,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.061404,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 106.505521,
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        "typical_volume": 72589.75,
        "trend": 103.246482,
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        "relative_strength": -2.875613,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 89404.1,
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        "fair_value": 86.960198,
        "relative_strength": -2.322701,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 107.771185,
        "volume": 291711,
        "typical_volume": 101662.4,
        "trend": 103.836429,
        "fair_value": 87.225214,
        "relative_strength": -4.597392,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 96195.85,
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        "fair_value": 87.482288,
        "relative_strength": -5.220542,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.902726,
        "energy": 64.290516,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 108.160625,
        "volume": 22772,
        "typical_volume": 95885.55,
        "trend": 104.340639,
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        "relative_strength": -4.977961,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.631422,
        "energy": 62.306664,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 91311,
        "typical_volume": 92431.15,
        "trend": 104.583399,
        "fair_value": 88.009424,
        "relative_strength": -6.567183,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 57.884351,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 107.01264,
        "volume": 56274,
        "typical_volume": 86976.15,
        "trend": 104.81336,
        "fair_value": 88.258764,
        "relative_strength": -4.626415,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 36.696063,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 53307,
        "typical_volume": 87543.65,
        "trend": 105.059458,
        "fair_value": 88.50342,
        "relative_strength": -4.547132,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.920286,
        "energy": 35.38205,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 107.400285,
        "volume": 29487,
        "typical_volume": 86804.3,
        "trend": 105.317398,
        "fair_value": 88.752093,
        "relative_strength": -5.414468,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 42.101614,
        "energy": 27.711459,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 85848.9,
        "trend": 105.465547,
        "fair_value": 88.992522,
        "relative_strength": -2.880852,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.65208,
        "energy": 25.899106,
        "activity_lines": [
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          106.478766,
          106.07033
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 109.9473,
        "volume": 78512,
        "typical_volume": 87691.05,
        "trend": 105.704945,
        "fair_value": 89.253041,
        "relative_strength": -2.734181,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.857017,
        "energy": 51.491199,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 110.0315,
        "volume": 153184,
        "typical_volume": 92830.05,
        "trend": 105.932836,
        "fair_value": 89.504138,
        "relative_strength": -3.865503,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.014602,
        "energy": 66.269973,
        "activity_lines": [
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          107.263524,
          106.638608
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 109.8306,
        "volume": 71500,
        "typical_volume": 92334.1,
        "trend": 106.155724,
        "fair_value": 89.748881,
        "relative_strength": -2.467524,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.31498,
        "energy": 72.09759,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.441586,
          108.686667,
          107.616428,
          106.890077
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 108.4463,
        "volume": 66016,
        "typical_volume": 90970.25,
        "trend": 106.290358,
        "fair_value": 89.980847,
        "relative_strength": -3.041628,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.570685,
        "energy": 64.345228,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.272953,
          108.725987,
          107.826459,
          107.037856
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 110.49,
        "volume": 138181,
        "typical_volume": 95578.75,
        "trend": 106.516787,
        "fair_value": 90.233046,
        "relative_strength": -2.219791,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.287015,
        "energy": 64.320568,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.71582,
          109.112842,
          108.211649,
          107.3088
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 111.96,
        "volume": 53872,
        "typical_volume": 93460.55,
        "trend": 106.71516,
        "fair_value": 90.491528,
        "relative_strength": -4.195996,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.747052,
        "energy": 64.059731,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.452773,
          109.724617,
          108.697707,
          107.659975
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}