{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d14fea58-25f8-423f-97fa-99af0c5e365d", "symbol": "YQ", "name": "17 Education Technology Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.121, "architecture_energy": 25.5, "architecture_maturity": 50.773, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.18, "rotation_up": 20.8, "upward_expansion": 4.2, "deceleration": 48.0, "rotation_down": 48.69, "downward_expansion": 75.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.207367, 2.228956, 2.269027, 2.345825 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.3981, "trend_reference": 2.554207, "distance_from_trend": -0.061117, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.644003, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.093004, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -34.456806, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.300805, "excess_performance": -0.488258, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.061117, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212563, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.093004, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029863, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.344568, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020092, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.300805, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.350743, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37817, "relative_activity": 1.012045, "balance": 0.350743, "dry_up": 1.140421, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.168797, "annualized_volatility": 0.751311, "from_high_reference": -0.628202, "from_low_reference": 0.42744 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.554207, "fair_value_reference": 2.644003, "structural_low": 1.68, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.019802, "positive_rate": 0.481481, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": -0.036739, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.903726, "worst_return": -0.502733, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.075518, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.12957, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.104348, "worst_return": -0.400802, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.276087, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.377226, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.328949, "worst_return": -0.43564, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 2.26448, 2.305785, 2.299134, 2.434666 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.2, "volume": 22388, "typical_volume": 34082.45, "trend": 2.632937, "fair_value": 2.675553, "relative_strength": -36.625304, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.863617, "energy": 27.789255, "activity_lines": [ 2.243667, 2.276655, 2.28819, 2.403143 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.93, "volume": 46756, "typical_volume": 35957.6, "trend": 2.583603, "fair_value": 2.657479, "relative_strength": -44.572975, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.834668, "energy": 34.226903, "activity_lines": [ 2.135333, 2.203705, 2.254342, 2.357792 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.3981, "volume": 37817, "typical_volume": 37366.9, "trend": 2.554207, "fair_value": 2.644003, "relative_strength": -34.456806, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.120882, "energy": 25.500426, "activity_lines": [ 2.207367, 2.228956, 2.269027, 2.345825 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }