{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d158b8b4-b216-4c05-ba69-ad192650076a", "symbol": "300757", "name": "RoboTechnik Intelligent Technology Co., LTD", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.613, "architecture_energy": 29.605, "architecture_maturity": 45.229, "architecture_confidence": 38.176, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.06, "rotation_up": 14.54, "upward_expansion": 16.09, "deceleration": 64.36, "rotation_down": 63.53, "downward_expansion": 43.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 450.874664, 485.871816, 520.071997, 503.763783 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 510.0, "trend_reference": 469.823998, "distance_from_trend": 0.085513, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 197.203354, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.586163, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 37.517481, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.34437, "excess_performance": 0.33697, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085513, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.281487, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.586163, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.734542, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.375175, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.255913, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.34437, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.371044, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45482711, "relative_activity": 1.47844, "balance": 1.371044, "dry_up": 1.281015, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.180961, "annualized_volatility": 0.668641, "from_high_reference": -0.275578, "from_low_reference": 2.098188 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 469.823998, "fair_value_reference": 197.203354, "structural_low": 328.5, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.00039, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.009611, "regime_survival": 0.521739, "best_return": 0.49822, "worst_return": -0.231106, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.031085, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.078857, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.551029, "worst_return": -0.319001, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.23325, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.334684, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 1.220006, "worst_return": -0.328291, "sufficient": true 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520.279235, 500.576729 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 510.0, "volume": 45482711, "typical_volume": 30763985.65, "trend": 469.823998, "fair_value": 197.203354, "relative_strength": 37.517481, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.612973, "energy": 29.604904, "activity_lines": [ 450.874664, 485.871816, 520.071997, 503.763783 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }