{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d179f3e6-3e58-452c-8d38-44f0deea321e",
    "symbol": "PTH",
    "name": "INVESCO DORSEY WRIGHT HEALTHCARE MOMENTUM ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.31,
    "architecture_energy": 61.568,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.12,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.859,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.96,
        "rotation_up": 62.07,
        "upward_expansion": 83.56,
        "deceleration": 66.27,
        "rotation_down": 21.29,
        "downward_expansion": 10.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        59.257733,
        58.493855,
        55.826169,
        54.053492
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 60.3556,
    "trend_reference": 52.022597,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.16018,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.57392,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.417666,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.790898,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.238323,
    "excess_performance": 0.050869,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.16018,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046768,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.417666,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166951,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077909,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111777,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.238323,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.291407,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 321445,
      "relative_activity": 1.945288,
      "balance": 0.291407,
      "dry_up": 2.994076,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045983,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.259111,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023056,
      "from_low_reference": 0.653065
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 52.022597,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.57392,
      "structural_low": 46.09,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.007956,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003074,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.123903,
        "worst_return": -0.091629,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.149092,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.000471,
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        "worst_return": -0.271072,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 79753.9,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 138862.35,
        "trend": 51.36799,
        "fair_value": 42.269776,
        "relative_strength": 11.588824,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 58.0963,
        "volume": 295711,
        "typical_volume": 151655.05,
        "trend": 51.663263,
        "fair_value": 42.412725,
        "relative_strength": 9.574965,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.055423,
        "energy": 70.299707,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.3556,
        "volume": 321445,
        "typical_volume": 165242.9,
        "trend": 52.022597,
        "fair_value": 42.57392,
        "relative_strength": 7.790898,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.309947,
        "energy": 61.568201,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}