{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d19ba72d-6125-4faf-a35c-1640d07aa83b", "symbol": "600527", "name": "Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer Fiber Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.233, "architecture_energy": 60.679, "architecture_maturity": 10.08, "architecture_confidence": 94.059, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.92, "rotation_up": 18.05, "upward_expansion": 13.16, "deceleration": 40.37, "rotation_down": 59.54, "downward_expansion": 86.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.106667, 2.13416, 2.313758, 2.369295 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.15, "trend_reference": 2.391543, "distance_from_trend": -0.100999, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.005178, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.072224, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.86651, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.048673, "excess_performance": -0.005469, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.100999, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007627, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.072224, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.506933, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.068665, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.318639, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.048673, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.193508, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 308318505, "relative_activity": 0.714059, "balance": 0.193508, "dry_up": 0.596115, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094028, "annualized_volatility": 0.505201, "from_high_reference": -0.377596, "from_low_reference": 0.085859 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.391543, "fair_value_reference": 2.005178, "structural_low": 1.98, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.006233, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.000297, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.182482, "worst_return": -0.121951, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.037853, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.018207, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.514084, "worst_return": -0.130473, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.014426, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.014874, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.56338, "worst_return": -0.119997, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 239308190, "typical_volume": 495976343.95, "trend": 2.39221, "fair_value": 2.001912, "relative_strength": -9.446514, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.501628, "energy": 58.733167, "activity_lines": [ 2.082, 2.170237, 2.372389, 2.40115 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.14, "volume": 211544811, "typical_volume": 464172091.6, "trend": 2.391543, "fair_value": 2.003635, "relative_strength": -4.839542, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.083913, "energy": 63.608651, "activity_lines": [ 2.091333, 2.146429, 2.341502, 2.384878 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.15, "volume": 308318505, "typical_volume": 431783185.4, "trend": 2.391543, "fair_value": 2.005178, "relative_strength": -6.86651, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.232638, "energy": 60.679029, "activity_lines": [ 2.106667, 2.13416, 2.313758, 2.369295 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }