{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d1a0780d-bd02-45de-9646-1a1044f2277c", "symbol": "2643", "name": "Soonest Express Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.016, "architecture_energy": 30.952, "architecture_maturity": 65.077, "architecture_confidence": 92.976, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.01, "rotation_up": 26.81, "upward_expansion": 5.58, "deceleration": 57.57, "rotation_down": 47.54, "downward_expansion": 78.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.813333, 60.825109, 61.425825, 62.34261 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 60.799999, "trend_reference": 63.757737, "distance_from_trend": -0.04639, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 64.357508, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.055277, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.147685, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.10365, "excess_performance": -0.545022, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.04639, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036602, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.055277, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027605, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.341477, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032383, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.10365, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.317228, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 203086, "relative_activity": 0.980595, "balance": 0.317228, "dry_up": 1.141456, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042299, "annualized_volatility": 0.155789, "from_high_reference": -0.145997, "from_low_reference": 0.062937 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.757737, "fair_value_reference": 64.357508, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.141653, "energy": 70.733168, "activity_lines": [ 59.893333, 60.845905, 61.813921, 62.930393 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.0, "volume": 106518, "typical_volume": 195948.25, "trend": 64.191849, "fair_value": 64.285449, "relative_strength": -33.870202, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.093829, "energy": 74.039265, "activity_lines": [ 59.353333, 60.407166, 61.451129, 62.575239 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.799999, "volume": 179000, "typical_volume": 199206.65, "trend": 64.013893, "fair_value": 64.334226, "relative_strength": -29.367457, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.859218, "energy": 36.006021, "activity_lines": [ 60.633333, 60.904883, 61.575519, 62.549958 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 60.799999, "volume": 203086, "typical_volume": 207104.95, "trend": 63.757737, "fair_value": 64.357508, "relative_strength": -34.147685, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.016404, "energy": 30.952495, "activity_lines": [ 60.813333, 60.825109, 61.425825, 62.34261 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }