{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d1c7d847-545e-42bf-9a5f-3ddd3ac901f2", "symbol": "300860", "name": "Funshine Culture Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 53.806, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.278, "architecture_energy": 11.738, "architecture_maturity": 21.996, "architecture_confidence": 53.269, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.01, "rotation_up": 21.28, "upward_expansion": 13.62, "deceleration": 50.21, "rotation_down": 39.92, "downward_expansion": 63.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.008667, 25.219091, 25.197672, 25.286233 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 26.48, "trend_reference": 25.808077, "distance_from_trend": 0.026035, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.665173, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.04284, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.630297, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.066851, "excess_performance": -0.074251, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026035, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025764, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.04284, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071262, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.046303, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.194997, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.066851, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.284347, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16678262, "relative_activity": 1.708393, "balance": 1.284347, "dry_up": 1.494134, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092091, "annualized_volatility": 0.371965, "from_high_reference": -0.165185, "from_low_reference": 0.184787 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.808077, "fair_value_reference": 27.665173, "structural_low": 22.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.029322, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.047403, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.21929, "worst_return": -0.280402, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.00552, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.043783, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.28344, "worst_return": -0.322899, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.00767, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.188299, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.222788, "worst_return": -0.4225, "sufficient": true }, { 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16678262, "typical_volume": 9762545.7, "trend": 25.808077, "fair_value": 27.665173, "relative_strength": -4.630297, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.278428, "energy": 11.738018, "activity_lines": [ 25.008667, 25.219091, 25.197672, 25.286233 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }