{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d1c82d36-75e0-421f-8131-bfdd3b816709", "symbol": "CUB", "name": "Lionheart Holdings", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.874, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.017, "architecture_energy": 16.93, "architecture_maturity": 13.633, "architecture_confidence": 50.028, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.6, "rotation_up": 34.66, "upward_expansion": 56.75, "deceleration": 65.32, "rotation_down": 21.42, "downward_expansion": 13.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.824333, 10.820909, 10.821619, 10.805097 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 10.87, "trend_reference": 10.77662, "distance_from_trend": 0.008665, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.444368, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.040752, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.219704, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.016838, "excess_performance": -0.170615, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008665, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006454, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.040752, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000365, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112197, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042198, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.016838, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.848384, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 542517, "relative_activity": 0.433164, "balance": 0.848384, "dry_up": 0.848859, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010473, "annualized_volatility": 0.020387, "from_high_reference": -0.031626, "from_low_reference": 0.040191 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.77662, "fair_value_reference": 10.444368, "structural_low": 10.68, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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3334403, "typical_volume": 1215535.8, "trend": 10.763953, "fair_value": 10.436685, "relative_strength": -7.482482, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.000788, "energy": 13.835464, "activity_lines": [ 10.796333, 10.816, 10.814857, 10.795672 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.81, "volume": 355881, "typical_volume": 1228844.65, "trend": 10.769953, "fair_value": 10.440275, "relative_strength": -7.560371, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.047483, "energy": 9.010697, "activity_lines": [ 10.801333, 10.813, 10.815571, 10.798643 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.87, "volume": 542517, "typical_volume": 1252452.9, "trend": 10.77662, "fair_value": 10.444368, "relative_strength": -11.219704, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.017439, "energy": 16.929533, "activity_lines": [ 10.824333, 10.820909, 10.821619, 10.805097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }