{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d1dc9643-af13-4d3f-a6ab-a9a7b86e1ff5",
    "symbol": "EESM",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy MSCI Europe Small Caps SRI PAB UCITS ETF Capitalisation",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.06,
    "architecture_energy": 87.08,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.09,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.923,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.2,
        "rotation_up": 79.55,
        "upward_expansion": 95.12,
        "deceleration": 42.05,
        "rotation_down": 11.55,
        "downward_expansion": 19.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 345.700012,
    "trend_reference": 321.246667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07612,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 288.467948,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.1984,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.359512,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.08285,
    "excess_performance": 0.018211,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07612,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032289,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1984,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055076,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023595,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021394,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08285,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.375133,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 275,
      "relative_activity": 0.234702,
      "balance": 5.375133,
      "dry_up": 3.155245,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020783,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.155991,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003603,
      "from_low_reference": 0.208741
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 288.467948,
      "structural_low": 286.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.003158,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001431,
        "regime_survival": 0.703704,
        "best_return": 0.071375,
        "worst_return": -0.078888,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.059894,
        "sufficient": true
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        "sufficient": true
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 619.95,
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        "fair_value": 282.334615,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 3.485596,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 316.336667,
        "fair_value": 285.960897,
        "relative_strength": 1.433113,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 540.35,
        "trend": 317.280001,
        "fair_value": 286.415705,
        "relative_strength": 2.182501,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.873801,
        "energy": 37.116483,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 13286,
        "typical_volume": 1196.25,
        "trend": 318.343334,
        "fair_value": 286.906089,
        "relative_strength": 5.693361,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.243804,
        "energy": 63.13191,
        "activity_lines": [
          331.023334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 333.399994,
        "volume": 823,
        "typical_volume": 1209.75,
        "trend": 319.288334,
        "fair_value": 287.371794,
        "relative_strength": 3.692603,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.116809,
        "energy": 67.97186,
        "activity_lines": [
          332.359998,
          330.330908,
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          322.709248
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 338.049988,
        "volume": 404,
        "typical_volume": 1194.95,
        "trend": 320.281667,
        "fair_value": 287.886858,
        "relative_strength": 2.895118,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.138784,
        "energy": 71.540997,
        "activity_lines": [
          334.67666,
          331.861815,
          328.001189,
          323.919677
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 345.700012,
        "volume": 275,
        "typical_volume": 1171.7,
        "trend": 321.246667,
        "fair_value": 288.467948,
        "relative_strength": 2.359512,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.059573,
        "energy": 87.080408,
        "activity_lines": [
          338.669999,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}