{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d1efd1f9-f812-46a7-a9ba-35b034e897c8",
    "symbol": "002259",
    "name": "Sichuan Shengda Forestry Industry Co., Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.045,
    "architecture_energy": 64.651,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.159,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.22,
        "rotation_up": 22.82,
        "upward_expansion": 13.37,
        "deceleration": 45.16,
        "rotation_down": 58.51,
        "downward_expansion": 86.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.746667,
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        4.280333,
        4.595785
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.01,
    "trend_reference": 4.880333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.178335,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.533333,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.134906,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.971327,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.322635,
    "excess_performance": -0.330035,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.178335,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000205,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134906,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.546135,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.149713,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.20137,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.322635,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.22001,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 77492460,
      "relative_activity": 0.694938,
      "balance": 0.22001,
      "dry_up": 0.7983,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.106465,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.438434,
      "from_high_reference": -0.374415,
      "from_low_reference": 0.27707
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.880333,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.533333,
      "structural_low": 3.14,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.024024,
        "positive_rate": 0.380952,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52381,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000675,
        "regime_survival": 0.761905,
        "best_return": 0.566138,
        "worst_return": -0.127796,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.076007,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.498024,
        "worst_return": -0.241477,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.051051,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015908,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.25,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.215247,
        "worst_return": -0.33033,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 128754815.8,
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        "fair_value": 3.528846,
        "relative_strength": -23.086274,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 87.987752,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 118520864.05,
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        "fair_value": 3.528526,
        "relative_strength": -24.200109,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.766936,
        "energy": 88.656965,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.618,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.75,
        "volume": 90985608,
        "typical_volume": 114488892.25,
        "trend": 4.872667,
        "fair_value": 3.53,
        "relative_strength": -16.600515,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.980228,
        "energy": 83.49908,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.634,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.01,
        "volume": 77492460,
        "typical_volume": 111509875.2,
        "trend": 4.880333,
        "fair_value": 3.533333,
        "relative_strength": -14.971327,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.045389,
        "energy": 64.65146,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.746667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}