{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d1f71395-dde5-490a-9812-fa67a3ed39b8", "symbol": "300689", "name": "Shenzhen Chengtian Weiye Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 56.15, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -12.815, "architecture_energy": 25.271, "architecture_maturity": 83.291, "architecture_confidence": 58.47, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.03, "rotation_up": 19.61, "upward_expansion": 19.35, "deceleration": 67.31, "rotation_down": 59.85, "downward_expansion": 39.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.92, 55.591854, 56.025531, 54.64439 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 51.540001, "trend_reference": 53.0593, "distance_from_trend": -0.028634, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.003366, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.561659, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.742875, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.093085, "excess_performance": -0.100484, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.028634, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065001, "read": "Rising" 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41.060001, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.038283, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": -0.009178, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.589182, "worst_return": -0.303513, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.020131, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.057281, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.618031, "worst_return": -0.142808, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.138504, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.198511, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.811634, "worst_return": -0.007023, 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"fair_value": 32.315329, "relative_strength": 28.93574, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.481785, "energy": 86.814394, "activity_lines": [ 67.074, 62.600723, 57.965941, 55.49522 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.880001, "volume": 25914563, "typical_volume": 12363350.05, "trend": 52.577633, "fair_value": 32.479308, "relative_strength": -6.366441, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.654699, "energy": 33.832088, "activity_lines": [ 61.86, 60.558185, 57.439422, 55.267201 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.099998, "volume": 25545113, "typical_volume": 12860615.5, "trend": 52.8863, "fair_value": 32.681094, "relative_strength": 2.998227, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.196922, "energy": 21.287357, "activity_lines": [ 58.901333, 59.580344, 57.412093, 55.365418 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.009998, "volume": 17504070, "typical_volume": 13125539.5, "trend": 52.839633, "fair_value": 32.807765, "relative_strength": -16.490956, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.235785, "energy": 18.468017, "activity_lines": [ 52.839332, 56.678769, 56.298621, 54.728237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.540001, "volume": 17980588, "typical_volume": 13453056.9, "trend": 53.0593, "fair_value": 33.003366, "relative_strength": -4.742875, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.814835, "energy": 25.271384, "activity_lines": [ 50.92, 55.591854, 56.025531, 54.64439 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }