{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d1fb6148-7dfa-4c5c-99b0-1579a99294b9", "symbol": "600567", "name": "Shanying International Holdings Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.056, "architecture_energy": 53.829, "architecture_maturity": 82.033, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.01, "rotation_up": 21.02, "upward_expansion": 9.05, "deceleration": 45.81, "rotation_down": 57.61, "downward_expansion": 82.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.325333, 1.344727, 1.372905, 1.424452 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.32, "trend_reference": 1.498333, "distance_from_trend": -0.119021, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.75592, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.248258, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.664277, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.2, "excess_performance": -0.156796, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.119021, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078327, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.248258, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056046, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.186643, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044929, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.2, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.301133, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 357824365, "relative_activity": 1.106327, "balance": 0.301133, "dry_up": 1.015895, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058858, "annualized_volatility": 0.275152, "from_high_reference": -0.371429, "from_low_reference": 0.023256 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.498333, "fair_value_reference": 1.75592, "structural_low": 1.29, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": -0.015926, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.008381, "regime_survival": 0.880952, "best_return": 0.17931, "worst_return": -0.122807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.054755, "positive_rate": 0.133333, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.025792, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.564286, "worst_return": -0.162791, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.089824, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.065756, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.387887, "worst_return": -0.235577, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -54.149469, "energy": 41.924795, "activity_lines": [ 1.380667, 1.38, 1.422905, 1.478065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.33, "volume": 307472564, "typical_volume": 369565732.4, "trend": 1.537667, "fair_value": 1.773668, "relative_strength": -16.533364, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.96438, "energy": 45.291382, "activity_lines": [ 1.362, 1.369455, 1.40819, 1.463935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.3, "volume": 339604610, "typical_volume": 351794376.3, "trend": 1.523667, "fair_value": 1.767624, "relative_strength": -18.792019, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.390831, "energy": 52.565957, "activity_lines": [ 1.340667, 1.356182, 1.392619, 1.448602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.34, "volume": 309401128, "typical_volume": 336925593.9, "trend": 1.510667, "fair_value": 1.761963, "relative_strength": -15.944707, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.40664, "energy": 52.574814, "activity_lines": [ 1.334667, 1.352, 1.38281, 1.436753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.32, "volume": 357824365, "typical_volume": 323434529.45, "trend": 1.498333, "fair_value": 1.75592, "relative_strength": -18.664277, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.056452, "energy": 53.829146, "activity_lines": [ 1.325333, 1.344727, 1.372905, 1.424452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }