{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d1fd6932-39ec-4beb-a1df-bfef7f24607f",
    "symbol": "MUA",
    "name": "BlackRock Muniassets Fund Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 75.28,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.019,
    "architecture_energy": 52.545,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.748,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.185,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.79,
        "rotation_up": 13.55,
        "upward_expansion": 10.96,
        "deceleration": 40.81,
        "rotation_down": 70.39,
        "downward_expansion": 77.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.370972,
        10.538419,
        10.577254,
        10.586501
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 10.26,
    "trend_reference": 10.624915,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.034345,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.982962,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.027751,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.400993,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.062284,
    "excess_performance": -0.187909,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034345,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007157,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027751,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052869,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13401,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047701,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062284,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.609961,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1472669,
      "relative_activity": 2.05848,
      "balance": 0.609961,
      "dry_up": 2.084815,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024676,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.107574,
      "from_high_reference": -0.087951,
      "from_low_reference": 0.036017
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.624915,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.982962,
      "structural_low": 10.013181,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.040707,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029338,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.059896,
        "worst_return": -0.010255,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.010144,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012608,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.002648,
        "worst_return": -0.022936,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.100557,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.134848,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.055915,
        "worst_return": -0.145199,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.127053,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.134485,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.013609,
        "worst_return": -0.267715,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0346,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.073558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.109551,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005212,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.019974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.051838,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.080853,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.016376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.051,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.039007,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015842,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 8.274753,
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        "typical_volume": 331198.95,
        "trend": 8.650399,
        "fair_value": 10.103494,
        "relative_strength": -11.312478,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -6.710054,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 461412,
        "typical_volume": 511256.15,
        "trend": 10.639105,
        "fair_value": 9.948898,
        "relative_strength": -5.873998,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.594779,
        "energy": 61.436248,
        "activity_lines": [
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          10.667603,
          10.657394
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.46,
        "volume": 2477814,
        "typical_volume": 607109.5,
        "trend": 10.644153,
        "fair_value": 9.960803,
        "relative_strength": -8.162814,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.375615,
        "energy": 21.726323,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.720498,
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          10.645839
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.1,
        "volume": 1554142,
        "typical_volume": 664979.15,
        "trend": 10.635585,
        "fair_value": 9.971693,
        "relative_strength": -12.024124,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.798003,
        "energy": 36.51898,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.496896,
          10.609505,
          10.606587,
          10.610732
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.26,
        "volume": 1472669,
        "typical_volume": 715415.7,
        "trend": 10.624915,
        "fair_value": 9.982962,
        "relative_strength": -13.400993,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.01871,
        "energy": 52.545277,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.370972,
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          10.577254,
          10.586501
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}