{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d20e8633-4ff5-41d2-ad4c-7c785c028400",
    "symbol": "EFNL",
    "name": "ISHARES MSCI FINLAND ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 49.921,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 4.897,
    "architecture_energy": 13.816,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.332,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.18,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 61.45,
        "rotation_up": 17.91,
        "upward_expansion": 41.12,
        "deceleration": 76.61,
        "rotation_down": 37.45,
        "downward_expansion": 35.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        52.010693,
        52.289683,
        53.090182,
        52.577352
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 52.755,
    "trend_reference": 51.766742,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.019091,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.560482,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.36811,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.915352,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.054847,
    "excess_performance": -0.070778,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019091,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045217,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.36811,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097323,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029154,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091801,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054847,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 8.620779,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 100851,
      "relative_activity": 0.430478,
      "balance": 8.620779,
      "dry_up": 0.301766,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042539,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.182586,
      "from_high_reference": -0.090443,
      "from_low_reference": 0.295071
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.766742,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.560482,
      "structural_low": 47.106983,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.002349,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00908,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.120467,
        "worst_return": -0.057542,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.078374,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024885,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.137786,
        "worst_return": -0.124954,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.006821,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.07434,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.220929,
        "worst_return": -0.208918,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.002808,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079988,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.512436,
        "worst_return": -0.187072,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-19",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.013376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.041445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
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        "return": 0.060162,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.005861,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.051093,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.082987,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.059028,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.040156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.009279,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 51.6404,
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        "typical_volume": 233041.0,
        "trend": 51.372083,
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        "relative_strength": -0.859201,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 1.067625,
        "energy": 16.025854,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50.88,
        "volume": 61116,
        "typical_volume": 233487.55,
        "trend": 51.486343,
        "fair_value": 38.280004,
        "relative_strength": -1.810942,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -5.755407,
        "energy": 18.989135,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 51.97,
        "volume": 40057,
        "typical_volume": 230858.85,
        "trend": 51.611998,
        "fair_value": 38.417727,
        "relative_strength": -0.919751,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.048364,
        "energy": 16.257737,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.71536,
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          52.50361
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 52.755,
        "volume": 100851,
        "typical_volume": 234276.9,
        "trend": 51.766742,
        "fair_value": 38.560482,
        "relative_strength": -2.915352,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.897334,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}